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3 Pages
overbook
Course: BEN-ISRAEL 386, Fall 2008School: Rutgers
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1 11666627.xls A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 B C D E Overbooking Model Ticket Price Penalty Seats Expected Demand Probability of Coming Overbooking Demand Tickets Sold Passengers Arrived Passengers Seated Passengers Not Seated Revenue from tickets Penalty for Overbooking Profit First Class $600 $500 50 50 0.93 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Economy $300 $200...
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1 11666627.xls
A 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
B
C
D
E
Overbooking Model
Ticket Price Penalty Seats Expected Demand Probability of Coming Overbooking Demand Tickets Sold Passengers Arrived Passengers Seated Passengers Not Seated Revenue from tickets Penalty for Overbooking Profit First Class $600 $500 50 50 0.93 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Economy $300 $200 190 200 0.96 #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? Overbooking Limit 0 5 10 15 20 25
Total #NAME?
Values
11666627.xls
A 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Demand 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
B
C
D
E
Overbooking Model First Class Ticket Price Penalty Seats Expected Demand Probability of Coming Overbooking #NAME? Economy
$600 $500 50 50 0.93 #NAME?
$300 $200 190 200 0.96
Overbooking Limit 0 5 10 15 20 25
#NAME? #NAME? Tickets Sold #NAME? Passengers Arrived #NAME? Passengers Seated #NAME? Passengers Not Seated #NAME? Revenue from tickets Penalty for Overbooking #NAME? #NAME? Profit
#NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME? #NAME?
Total
#NAME?
Formulas
YASAI Simulation Output Workbook Sheet Start Date Start Time Run Time (h:mm:ss) Scenarios: Sample Size: overbook.xls Values 1/2/2003 1:24:34 PM 0:01:58 18 1000 YASAI Version: Use Same Seed? Random Number Seed: 1.1 Yes 1
Scenario 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Parameter Economy Overbooking First Class Overbooking 0 0 5 0 10 0 15 0 20 0 25 0 0 5 5 5 10 5 15 5 20 5 25 5 0 10 5 10 10 10 15 10 20 10 25 10 Standard Mean Deviation 0.000 0.000 0.005 0.084 0.176 0.732 0.945 1.994 2.129 3.500 2.981 4.822 0.000 0.000 0.033 0.261 0.480 1.297 1.479 2.686 2.594 4.099 3.484 5.386 0.000 0.000 0.044 0.300 0.491 1.272 1.477 2.679 2.524 3.992 3.378 5.281 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.452 0.999 0.456 0.974 0.430 0.970 0.463 1.034 0.480 1.048 0.447 1.011 1.062 2.091 1.074 2.088 1.080 2.085 1.095 2.136 1.137 2.169 1.031 2.044 82715.100 2931.053 83795.300 3244.286 84492.500 3360.191 84775.800 3447.727 84661.700 3319.114 84627.800 3152.841 83362.400 3085.087 84428.100 3389.122 84946.900 3552.105 85024.900 3428.549 84948.200 84851.800 3258.938 3160.146 83102.400 3015.813 84089.600 3340.642 84618.800 3430.687 84715.900 3339.319 84644.500 3240.264 84564.200 3120.230
The best profit is obtained by overbooking by 15 seats in economy and 5 in first class (scenario 10), which results in an average of 1.48 economy passengers and .46 first class passengers being turned away daily.
Output Name Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated Economy Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passengers Not Seated First Class Passen...
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Rutgers - BEN-ISRAEL - 386
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