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Georgia Tech - CS - 8803
%!PS-Adobe-2.0 %Creator: dvips(k) 5.86 Copyright 1999 Radical Eye Software %Title: project3.dvi %Pages: 2 %PageOrder: Ascend %BoundingBox: 0 0 612 792 %DocumentFonts: CMR10 CMBX10 CMMI10 CMTI10 CMTT10 CMSY10 %EndComments %DVIPSWebPage: (www.radicaley
Richmond - ES - 201
Mar 28, 2006 Name: Pledge (sign):Env Studies 201 Test #2Point Total: 100 pts possible20 pts1. Pick four of the following items, and define each in 1 sentence. (a) weak sustainability(b) environmental Kuznets curve(c) common pool resource(
Washington - B - 111
Forensic statistics: extreme numbers and the Birthday ProblemBruce Weir bsweir@u.washington.eduJonBenet Ramsey DNA tests clear JonBenet Ramsey's family of her 1996 killing Results point to 'unexplained third party,' prosecutor says Last U
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Management Analysis Session Summary SheetSession 4: Framing decision problems (Stefan Scholtes) Before the session you should have installed the student version of Palisade's Decision Tools Suite on your notebook. This software is included with the
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management 9.00 9.30 Introduction to Modelling 9.30 10.00 Monty Hall Game 10.00 10.15 Coffee Break 10.15 11.00 SciTools
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003S. Scholtes Judge Institute of ManagementGraphical tool for analysing decisions under risk Helps to structure the decisions to be made Shows the dependency of th
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
PrecisionTree Statistics Report For SciTools Bidding of SciTools.xls Created on 03/10/2003 at 15:44:02STATISTICS Mean Minimum Maximum Mode Std Dev Skewness Kurtosis PROFILE: # 1 212200 -5000 15000 15000 6939.74 -2.08 5.31 X -5000 15000 P 0.14 0.8
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Launching a new generation ePhone*Prepared for the Cambridge MBA course Management Analysis 2003 by Stefan Scholtes Judge Institute of ManagementePhone is preparing to launch an innovative mobile phone that the company has developed over the past
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
New Product LaunchCost of test market Cost of launch Unit margin Demand Global Test Probability of test market outcome Probabilities Test Success Survival Failure Intermediate computation Global market outcome Probability Success 5000 150 40% 5000 (
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003Issues: - The value of information - The value of flexibility S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management Fixed cost of 5 Mio units production facility = $60 Mio U
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
A Case of Riesling*Prepared for the Cambridge MBA course Management Analysis 2003 by Stefan Scholtes Judge Institute of ManagementBackground End of September 2003. Hans-Peter, wine grower and owner of a family estate in the Mosel region in Germany
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
costs/l Riesling Cremant Kabinet Spatlese Auslese BA Spot Amount left on vines Profit from early harvest Remaining quantity after noble rot Quantity reduction if 4 weeks bad weather Chance of noble rot in good weather 1.83 3.50 1.93 1.93 2.40 4
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003Pre-session group-work: Do examples 11.1, 11.2, 11.3 in W/A pp. 570-600. Make sure @Risk works properly on at least one computer per group. Further reading: http:/ww
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Management Analysis Session Summary SheetSession 5: Analysing and optimising the performance of systems in an uncertain world (Stefan Scholtes)Pre-session group-work: Do example 11.1 and have a go at example 11.2 and 11.3 in W/A pp. 570-600. Make
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003S. Scholtes Judge Institute of ManagementOptional lunchtime session: MARKSTRAT: Improving information with regression Monday, 10 November, 1.00-1.30 pm, LT1 Lecturer
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge14. April 2003Insert =randbetween(5,15) in a spreadsheet cell and press F9 Every time a different integer between 5 and 15 is generated Each integer has the same chance (=1/11)
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Monty Hall Game Simulation Assume Car is behind door 1 Goats behind doors 2 and 3Game 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44Candidate chooses door 1 1 2 2 1 1 3 3
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Management Analysis Session Summary SheetSession 6 Appraising risky projects (Stefan Scholtes)Pre-session group-work: Read the paper Risk-enhanced NPV analysis: A call for computer-aided project appraisal. Make yourself familiar with @Risk by work
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
S. Scholtes Judge Institute of Management University of Cambridge30/10/2003Riding the waves of change: Simulating Risky InvestmentsS. Scholtes Judge Institute of ManagementSpeaker: Karl Rose (Strategic Intelligence, Shell) Topic: Time: Venue:
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Sample Test Question 7Part a)success yes TRUE 0 Market 1250000 failure success prediction 50.0% 0 Launch? 1250000 no yes FALSE -75000 Outcome of market analysis 587500 success yes FALSE 0 Market -100000 failure failure prediction 50.0% 0 no tree #1
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Sample Test Question 7Part b)success 75.0% 2000000 yes TRUE 0 Market 1250000 failure success prediction 50.0% 0 Launch? 1250000 no yes FALSE -75000 Outcome of market analysis 587500 success yes FALSE 0 Market -100000 failure failure prediction 50.0
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Sample Test Question 7Part c) YOU CAN AGAIN USE THE TREE FROM PART a) (Don't forget to put the 75,000 cost for the test in again)yes TRUE 0 success Market 1250000 failure success prediction 50.0% 0 Launch? 1250000 no yes FALSE -75000 Outcome of mar
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
Sample Test Question 8 a) This is one of many possible models Month Orders Cash balance w/o loan B1: C1: F1: Data Data Data B2: C2: F2: Data Data Data B3: C3: F3: Data Data Data B4: C4: D4 E4 F4 Random =0.7*B1 =0.75*B4 =250,000 =H3+C4+0.2*B2 D4-E4(1+
East Los Angeles College - MBA - 248
ROBBER PLCINPUTS Costs Initial investment Annual maintenance Variable costs Revenues Wholesale price Sale of plant after 5 yrs Sales Rates Depreciation Discount rate Tax rate MODEL Year Sales Volume Unit Price Unit Costs Sales Revenue Fixed Maintena
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communication Lecture 17: Passband Wireless CommunicationIntroductionBeginning with this lecture, we will study wireless communication. The focus of these lectures will be on point to point communication. Communication on
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communication Lecture 18: The Discrete Time Complex Baseband Wireless ChannelIntroductionIn the previous lecture we saw that even though the wireless communication is done via passband signals, most of the processing at t
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communication Lecture 11: Intersymbol Interference Management: Low SNR Regime IntroductionSo far, we have seen that the wireline channel is modeled as an FIR (finite impulse response) filter acting on the transmit voltage s
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communications Lecture 19: Sequential Communication over a Slow Fading Wireless Channel IntroductionConsider the simple slow fading wireless channel we arrived at in the previous lecture: y[m] = hx[m] + w[m], m = 1, . . . ,
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communication Lecture 12: Intersymbol Interference Management: High SNR Regime IntroductionWe have seen that the key aspect of the wireline channel is the intersymbol interference (ISI), and our focus is to develop receiver
University of Illinois, Urbana Champaign - ECE - 562
ECE 562: Advanced Digital Communications Lecture 20: Typical Error Event in a Slow Fading Wireless Channel IntroductionWe studied sequential communication over a slowly varying wireless channel in the previous lecture. The key feature of our channel