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Prb11_14
Course: BA 409, Fall 2009School: Carroll MT
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Seasonal Quadratic Factor Forecast 0.80 -0.87 -1.25 -1.08 -0.81 23.0 0.87 26.9 1.28 39.7 1.07 38.4 0.82 27.8 0.90 32.0 1.27 55.5 1.06 45.2 Units Sold Year Qtr 1997 1 2 3 4 1998 1 2 3 4 1999 1 2 3 4 Forecasts: 2000 1 2 3 4 Time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Units Sold 23 25 36 31 26 28 48 36 31 42 53 43 Level 28.75 28.75 28.75 28.75 30.96 31.69 35.60 34.30 36.59 43.35 42.20 41.02 alpha beta MSE 60 50 40 30 20 10...
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Seasonal Quadratic Factor Forecast 0.80 -0.87 -1.25 -1.08 -0.81 23.0 0.87 26.9 1.28 39.7 1.07 38.4 0.82 27.8 0.90 32.0 1.27 55.5 1.06 45.2
Units Sold
Year Qtr 1997 1 2 3 4 1998 1 2 3 4 1999 1 2 3 4 Forecasts: 2000 1 2 3 4
Time 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Units Sold 23 25 36 31 26 28 48 36 31 42 53 43
Level 28.75 28.75 28.75 28.75 30.96 31.69 35.60 34.30 36.59 43.35 42.20 41.02
alpha beta MSE
60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3
0.59 0.29 25.82
13 14 15 16
33.7 37.0 52.2 43.6
4
5
6
7
8
9
1
Time Period
Page 1
Quadratic
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
Time 2
Regression Period
Page Results SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R R Square Adjusted R Square Standard Error Observations ANOVA df Regression Residual Total 2 9 11 SS 557.89 455.78 1013.67 MS 278.94 50.64 F Significance F 5.51 0.03
0.74 0.55 0.45 7.12 12
Intercept X Variable 1 X Variable 2
CoefficientsStandard Err...
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