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6 Pages
Reasoning and the Rationality Debate
Course: PSY 85-211, Fall 2009School: Carnegie Mellon
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Printoutacopyofyouranswersandturnitinbeforetheendofclassontheduedate. Important:pleaseputyournameontopofeachpageandprintoutyouranswers singlesided.Wewillseparateyourpacketanddistributedifferentpagestofinished: 1. INSTRUCTIONS Pleasetypeyouranswersintheboxbeloweachquestion.Dontfeelthatyouneedtousethe entirespaceprovidedforeachquestion:fullcreditcanoftenbeearnedforresponsesthatusehalf...
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Printoutacopyofyouranswersandturnitinbeforetheendofclassontheduedate.
Important:pleaseputyournameontopofeachpageandprintoutyouranswers
singlesided.Wewillseparateyourpacketanddistributedifferentpagestofinished:
1. INSTRUCTIONS
Pleasetypeyouranswersintheboxbeloweachquestion.Dontfeelthatyouneedtousethe
entirespaceprovidedforeachquestion:fullcreditcanoftenbeearnedforresponsesthatusehalf
ofthespaceorless.Whenyouareindividual
graders.Makesurethatyousubmitahardcopywewillonlygradeyourresponsesif
wereceiveahardcopy.
2. UploadthefiletothecoursewebsiteonBlackboard.Thefileshouldbeuploadedviathe
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TurninthishomeworkinclassonThursOct29orearliertoSarahsmailbox(BH336D).
HW4Name:__________OlubunmiDairo__________
1)Whatisaheuristic?Illustrateyouranswerbydescribingtheavailabilityheuristicinyourown
wordsandexplainingwhyitisaheuristic.
Aheuristicisthewordthatisusedtodescribetheprocessinwhichpeopleusetheir
experiencestoadecipherproblem.Availabilityheuristicisaheuristicinwhichpeople
makejudgmentsontheprobabilityofsomethingoccurringbasedonhoweasyandavailable
acertainchoiceis.Thismeansforexampleifyouaredecidingwhetherpeoplearemore
likelytodiefromdiabetesorfromcancer.Ifyouencounteredmoredeathsfromcancerin
yourpastyouaremorelikelytosaythatpeoplearemorelikelytodiefromcancer.Itis
easierforyoutothinkitismoreprobableforpeopletodieforcancerbecauseyour
memoriesofpeopledyingfromcancerarereadilyavailableforyoutoaccess.Availability
heuristicisgoodwaytofigureouttheprobabilityofthingsbutbecauseeveryonehas
differentexperiencesitissusceptibletodifferentbiases.Availabilityheuristicbiasesare
brokenintodifferentparts:biasesbasedonretrievabilityofinstanceswhichIdiscussedin
theexampleabove,biasesduetoeffectivenessofasearchset,biasesduetoimagibilityifit
iseasier,whichmeansitifitiseasierforyoutogetanimageofacertainsituationopposed
togettinganimageofanothersituation,youwillgowiththeonethatwaseasiertopicture,
lastlyillusorycorrelationwhichmeansthatyoumakeajudgmentbasedonhowwelltwo
thingsgotogether.Thisisaheuristicbecauseinanavailabilityheuristic,youusehow
availableachoiceistodeterminetheprobabilityofitoccurring,howavailableacertain
choiceistoyouisdependentonyourpastexperiences.
85211~Fall2009~HomeworkAssignment4~Due10/29/09
2
HW4Name:__________OlubunmiDairo__________
2)TverskyandKahnemansuggestthatheuristicsarequiteusefulingeneral(p1124)andare
usuallyeffective.(p1131)Considertwooftheheuristicstheydescribe:representativenessand
anchoring.Describeeachheuristicinyourownwords,anddescribearealworldsettingwhere
thisheuristicisuseful(i.e.describeasettingwheretheheuristicproducesanaccurateanswerto
arealworldproblem).
Therepresentativenessheuristicisaheuristicwhichyoujudgewhatanobjectisbasedon
howgoodofarepresentativeofsomethingelse.Anexampleofthisisifyouknowan
animalAhaswingsandchirps,andyouhadtodecidewhatgroupofanimalsthiscertain
animalbelongedwhetheritwasanamphibianorifitisabird.Whenusingthe
representativeheuristicyouseehowsimilarthecertainanimalistothetwoanimalgroups.
b)Whatistherelationshipbetweenelectroencephalography(EEG)andeventrelatedpotentials
Sincebirdsareknowntochirpandhavewings,youwouldgroupanimalAintothebird
(ERPs)?(6)
group.Thisisacasewhenrepresentativenessheuristichelpsusproperlygroupcertain
things.
Theanchoringheuristicisaheuristicinwhichyoustartfromabeginningvalueandthen
alterthevaluetogetafinalanswer.Anexampleofthisifyouaretryingtoguesstheageof
someone,andtheiranchoristhattheageisgreaterthan30;thepersonthenguessesthatthe
personis35.Thisisacasewhentheanchoredheuristichelpsinarealwordsituation.
85211~Fall2009~HomeworkAssignment4~Due10/29/09
3
HW4Name:__________OlubunmiDairo__________
3)Whyispeople'sperformanceintheabstractversionoftheWasoncardtaskheldasevidence
foraninabilitytothinkrationally?DoyouthinkthatChaterandOaksfordwouldconsiderthis
asademonstrationofhumanirrationality?Summarizetheirresponseinyourownwords.
PeoplesperformanceintheabstractversionoftheWasoncardtaskisheldasevidencefor
aninabilitytothinkrationallybecausetheaccordingtoPoppersfalsificationviewof
science,whentryingtodisconfirmarulethemostlogicalchoiceshouldbechosen,achoice
thatproperlyhelpssolvetheproblem.Sincepeoplewereunabletopickthemostlogical
choicewhichisapandnonqcard,itshowsthattheyarenotrational.Iftheywererational
theywouldhavechosenthecardsthathelpedfigureoutthevalidityoftherulewhichisthe
mostlogicalchoice.Notbeingabletopickthemostlogicalchoiceshowsaflawinthe
rationalofthepeople.ChaterandOaksfordwouldhavedisagreedbecausetheydonotrely
onPoppersfalsificationtheorybutratheronBaynesianstatistics.Theirbeliefisthatthe
personsgoalistoselectdatathatwillprovethevalidityorinvalidityoftherulei.e.ifp
thenq.WhattheyconsiderthatisdifferentfromPopperistheenvironment.Theytakeinto
considerationhowrareacertaineventisoccurring.Intheexampletheygaveasaucepan
falling(p)andhearingaclangsound(q),theysaiditisraretohearaclang.Alsowhen
takingintoaccounthowraresomethingis,youwouldcheckifthesaucepanfell(p)arare
event,andiftherewasaclangsound(q)anotherrareevent,insteadofiftherewasnoclang
sound(notq)whichalwayshappens.Sointhiscasethemostrationalcardstoturnover
withthemostinformationwouldbethepandqcard.IntheeyesofChaterandOaksford,
thepeopleschoicewasrational.
85211~Fall2009~HomeworkAssignment4~Due10/29/09
4
HW4Name:__________OlubunmiDairo__________
4)WhatimportantassumptionofChaterandOaksford'srationalanalysismightbechallengedon
thebasisthatthestandardversionoftheWasoncardselectiontaskreferstorulesabout
vowels/consonantsandodd/evennumbers?HowmightChaterandOaksfordrespondtothis
challenge?
TheassumptionofChaterandOaksfordsrationalanalysisthatwouldbechallengedwould
betheenvironmentpartbecauseinthatpart,theyrelyonthebeliefthateventsarerare.In
theexamplegivenofsaucepanfallingandaclangbeingheard,thisideaisvalidbutinthe
caseofthestandardWasoncardselectiontaskitiswrongbecausevowels,consonants,odd
andevennumbersarenotrareeventsatall.ChaterandOaksfordwouldrespondtothisby
sayingintheiterationpartoftheirtheory,itsaysthatselectiontaskperformanceshould
changeiftherarityassumptionisviolated(63).Thissaysthatiftheeventisnotrarethen
thewholeprocessofselectionwillbedifferent.Notonlythatbutintheoptimizationpartof
theirtheory,theysaythatpeopleshouldchoosethethingsorcardsinthiscasewiththe
mostinformation.Soevenifraritywasntthecasethenpeopleshouldstillselectthecards
thathavethemostinformation.
85211~Fall2009~HomeworkAssignment4~Due10/29/09
5
HW4Name:__________OlubunmiDairo__________
5)TverskyandKahnemansuggestthatcognitionissubjecttosevereandsystematicerrors
(1124).ChaterandOaksfordsuggestthatcognitionissuperblyadaptedtoservepracticaland
computationalends(58).Aretheseapproachescontradictoryorcantheybereconciled?Explain
youranswer.
Thesetwoideassaydifferentthings;oneissayingthatcognitionhasmanyflawsand
probablyshouldntbeusedatall,whileoneisthatitshouldbeusedallthetimebecauseit
helpssolvethings.WhatTverskyandKahnemanapproachplaysupistheflawsofcognition
byfocusingonheuristicsandthewaytheirbiasesaffectpeoplesabilitytoproblemsolve,
howevertheChaterandOaksfordapproachdiscusseshowrationalanalysisallowshumans
toproperlyproblemsolveandallthebenefitsthatarisefromit.Eventhoughthetwo
approachesarecontradictorytheycanbereconciled.Althoughaccordingtotheviewsof
TverskyandKahnemantherearesevereandsystematicerrorsitdoesnotarguewiththefact
thatcognitionworks.Ingeneraltheseheuristicsarequiteusefulbutsometimestheyleadto
severeandsystematicerrors(P.1124).Thetruthisnomatterwhatapproachusedwhether
cognitionorsomethingelsetherewillstillbeerrors.HoweverIthinkthesetwoapproaches
canbereconciledbecauseifthetwoideaswerecombinedmeaningheuristicsandrational
analysis,therewouldbefewererrors.Peoplewouldusetheirrationalandtheirexperiences
tocomeupwiththemostsuitableanswer.
85211~Fall2009~HomeworkAssignment4~Due10/29/09
6
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Carnegie Mellon - PSY - 85-211
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