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Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture19.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 19 - Brokerage, ECNs, etc.< previous session | next session >Overview:The exchanges in which stocks and other securities are traded
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture20.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 20 - Guest Lecture by Stephen Schwarzman< previous session | next session >Overview:Stephen Schwarzman, Co-Founder of Blackstone Gr
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture21.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 21 - Forwards and Futures< previous session | next session >Overview:Futures markets were started in Osaka, Japan in the 1600s to c
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture22.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 22 - Stock Index, Oil and Other Futures Markets< previous session | next session >Overview:Futures markets have expanded far beyond
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture23.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 23 - Options Markets< previous session | next session >Overview:Options introduce an essential nonlineary into portfolio management
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/midterm_exam.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsExam - Midterm Exam 1< previous session | next session >Overview:Midterm Exam 1 covers Lectures 1 through 10.Resources:Midterm Exam 1
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/midterm_exam2.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsExam - Midterm Exam 2< previous session | next session >Overview:Midterm Exam 2 covers Lectures 11 through 16.Resources:Midterm Exam
Yale - ECON - 252
Final Exam Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. Robert J. Shiller May 11, 2007There are four parts to this exam. In each part, answer seven of the ten questions, four minutes each, 112 minutes total. You have three hours to do the exam. Exam is not open
Yale - ECON - 252
Econ 252 Final Exam Answers Spring 2007, R. Shiller Part I. Answer any seven of the following ten questions, 4 minutes each. 1. Use binomial distribution to calculate probability with p=.5. p = .5^10+10*.5^9*.5 = 11*.5^10 = .0107642. The probability is lo
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 1:Teaching Fellows, Economics 252 Financial MarketsUsman Ali Lahore, Pakistan Lahore University of Management Science (LUMS) Ph.D. candidate, economics Research on stock analyst recommendations and biases in stock market Behavioral financeSanto
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 2 :Multiplication Rule and Insurance Probability P, 0<P<1 Multiplication rule for independent events: Prob(A and B) = Prob(A)Prob(B) Probability of n independent accidents = Pn Probability of x accidents in n policies (Binomial Distributon):Expe
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 3: Technology and Invention in FinanceEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityKey Points! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Pooling risks around the world Backus Kehoe and Kydland Rapid change in financial technology Long-run risks still no
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 4: Portfolio Diversification and Supporting Financial InstitutionsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityOptimal Portfolio Diversification in General Case Drop assumption of equal weighting, independence and equal varia
Yale - ECON - 252
Lec 5: Risk Pooling in Insurance If n policies, each has independent probability p of a claim, then the number of claims follows the binomial distribution. The standard deviation of the fraction of policies that result in a claim is Probability that frac
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 6: Efficient MarketsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityPrice as PDV of Expected Dividends If earnings equal dividends and if dividends grow at long-run rate g, then by growing consol model P=E/(r-g), P/E=1/(r-g). (G
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 7: Behavioral Finance: The Role of PsychologyEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityP and PstarOverconfidenceFrom my October, 1987 Investor Survey: Did you think at any point on October 19, 1987 that you had a pretty g
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 8: Human Foibles, Fraud, and RegulationEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversitySome Principles of Behavioral Finance Wishful thinking bias Attention anomalies Anchoring Representativeness heuristic Gambling behavior Magi
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 10: Debt Markets and Term StructureEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityDiscount Bonds PricingTerm T, Yield to Maturity (YTM) rCompound Interest If annual rate is r, compounding once per year, balance = (1+r)t after
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 11: Corporate StocksEconomics 252, Fall 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityS&P Composite Stock Price IndexPrice Earnings Ratio 1881-2008S&P Composite Dividends/Earnings January 1871-September 2007S&P Composite Dividend/Price January 18
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 12: Real EstateEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityReal US Home Prices 1890-2007-IVLong-Term ExpectationsOn average over the next ten years, how much do you expect the value of your home to change each year? (median
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 13: BanksEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityLong-Term ExpectationsOn average over the next ten years, how much do you expect the value of your home to change each year? (median answer) Los Angeles Milwaukee1988 10%
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 16: Monetary PolicyEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityBank of England 1694 Granted monopoly on joint stock banking by Parliament in return for war loans. Not an invention of economists, started off as a powerful ban
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 17: Investment Banking and Secondary MarketsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityGlass-Steagall Act 1933 The modern concept of Investment Bank was created in the Glass-Steagall act (Banking Act of 1933). Glass Steagal
Texas State - PHIL - 1305
Review 3Suffrage worksheetWhat is suffrage?Property requirements. requirements based on race and/or gender.lengthy residency requirementsWhat is the fifteenth amendment?(1870) The right of citizens of the United States to vote shall not be denied or
Texas State - PHIL - 1305
Philosophy Final ReviewWhat are the five branches of philosophy?1) Metaphysics 2) Epistemology 3) Aesthetics 4) Ethics 5)LogicMetaphysics: Clarifies problems of math and science. Epistemology: Questions the process of human knowledge and how we gather
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 18: Professional Money Managers and their InfluenceEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityNational Securities Markets Improvement Act of 1996 (NSMIA) All advisors managing more than $30 million must register with SEC Th
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 19: Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & ECNsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityBrokers, Dealers Exchanges & ECNs Broker-Dealer (BD) is an organization as defined by SEC, hires natural persons as brokers and dealers, its r
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 21: Futures MarketsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityFX Forwards and Forward Interest Parity FX Forward is like a pair of zero coupon bonds. Therefore, forward rate reflects interest rates in the two currencies For
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 22: Stock Index, Oil and Other Futures MarketsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityStock Price Index Futures Cash settlement rather than physical delivery Settlement is 250*(Indext-Futurest-1) Fair value:Oil Futures
Yale - ECON - 252
Lecture 23: Options MarketsEconomics 252, Spring 2008 Prof. Robert Shiller, Yale UniversityPut-Call Parity Relation Put option price call option price = present value of strike price + present value of dividends price of stock For European options, thi
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture24.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 24 - Making It Work for Real People: The Democratizationof Finance< previous session | next session >Overview:Professor Shiller, i
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture25.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 25 - Okun Lecture: Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis,< previous session | next session >Part I (Guest Lecture by Lawre
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions/lecture26.htmlOpen Yale CoursesECON 252: Financial MarketsLecture 26 - Okun Lecture: Learning from and Responding to Financial Crisis,< previous session | next session >Part II (Guest Lecture by Lawr
Yale - ECON - 252
Midterm Exam #1 Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. Robert J. Shiller February 21, 2007 There are two parts to this exam. In Part I, answer any eight of the ten questions, four minutes each. In Part II, answer any four of the five questions in Part A an
Yale - ECON - 252
Econ252 Midterm 1 Answers 1. WHAT IS BACKFILL BIAS? WHAT IS SURVIVOR BIAS? HOW DO THEY LEAD TO ERRORS IN EVALUATING INVESTMENT OUTCOMES? These terms were used by David Swensen in his lecture. backfill bias: When a hedge fund is added to an index, the fund
Yale - ECON - 252
Midterm Exam #2 Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. Robert J. Shiller April 4, 2007 There are two parts to this exam. In each of the two parts, answer any seven of the ten questions, four minutes each. For the entire exam, you must answer 14 questions t
Yale - ECON - 252
Solutions to Midterm Exam #2 Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. Robert Shiller April 1, 2008 PART I: 6 points each 1. ACCORDING TO SHILLER (IRRATIONAL EXUBERANCE, 2005), WHAT HAS BEEN THE LONG-TERM TREND IN REAL HOME PRICES IN US AND HOW DOES IT RELATE
Yale - ECON - 252
Economics 252 Problem Set #1. 1. An accident insurance company has reserves to cover claims on no more than 3 accidents. If all accidents have a probability of 0.01 of occurring, if all accidents are independent, and if the insurance company writes 100 po
Yale - ECON - 252
Economics 252 Problem Set #2 1. Suppose the typical technology stock has a return standard deviation of 50% per year. Suppose that all technology stocks are independent of each other. Suppose that the typical blue-chip stock has a return standard deviatio
Yale - ECON - 252
Economics 252 Problem Set #3 Stock Market Forecasting Exercise Step 1: Obtain time series data for a major stock price index, in spreadsheet format. One way to do this is to get onto Yahoo.com, and click Finance/Quotes, then click Indices, then, for the s
Yale - ECON - 252
Economics 252 Problem Set #4 1. If the dividend stream of a company is a random walk, Dt=Dt-1+ ut where ut is random forecastable noise which is always revealed on the dividend date and if the price of a share of the stock is the present value with consta
Yale - ECON - 252
Problem Set #5 (Mortgages and Fed Policy) Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. R. Shiller 1. What is the monthly payment on a forty-year $100,000 home mortgage with a fixed rate of 5%? 2. What fraction of the first monthly payment (one month after closin
Yale - ECON - 252
Economics 252 Financial Markets Prof. R. Shiller Problem Set #6 1. A trader either wins or loses $100,000 on each trade, and has the probability of winning at .55. The trader starts with a capital of $1,000,000. What is the probabiity for that trader of b
Yale - ECON - 252
CHAIRMAN & CEOS tephen A. Schwarzman i s Chairman, CEO and Co-Founder of Blackstone and the Chairman of the board of directors of its general partner, Blackstone Group Management L.L.C. He has been involved in all phases of the firms development since it
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/sessions.htmlECON 252: Financial MarketsClass SessionsClick session titles below to access audio, video, and course materials.1. Finance and Insurance as Powerful Forces in Our Economy and Society2. The Univ
Yale - ECON - 252
file:/H:/econ252/Financial-Markets/content/syllabus.htmlECON 252: Financial Markets (Spring, 2008)SyllabusProfessor:Robert Shiller, Arthur M. Okun Professor of Economics, Yale UniversityDescription:Financial institutions are a pillar of civilized so