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Michigan State University - SCM - 303
Manufacturing and ServiceProcess Choices1 The Eli Broad College of Business,Michigan State University, 2010Economies & Diseconomies of scale Economies of Scale: as volume increases, unitcosts decrease to an optimal level Diseconomies of Scale: uni
Michigan State University - SCM - 303
Chapter 2:Operations and Supply Chain Strategy Michigan State University, 2011- 1 Michigan State University, 2011Levels of Strategic PlanningEnvironmentCorporate CultureStrategic QuestionsCorporate StrategyBusiness StrategiesSBUWhat business(es
Michigan State University - SCM - 303
SCM 303: Introduction toSupply Chain Management Michigan State UniversityTodays Agenda Discussion of Syllabus, course administration, andground rules Gain an understanding of what is meant by Supply Chain Supply Chain Management-2- Michigan Stat
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
Promotional chapters most important- personal selling, advertising,sales promotion; spend most time hereChapter 10 Developing New products and ServicesI.What are products and services?Classifying ProductsII.III.Producto Good, service, or idea cons
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 10, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Recognize the various terms thatpertain to products and services.LO2Identify the ways
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
MKT327Ch.11:ManagingSuccessfulProducts,Services,andBrands05:14*Figure111/1B:Howstagesoftheproductlifecyclerelatetoafirmsmarketingobjectivesandmarketingmixactions(dontmemorize,butknowthegeneralideas marketingobjective,competition,marketingmix)Introdu
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
MKT327:Ch.14RetailingandWholesaling*OnlythingreallygettingintoisRETAILINGI.TheValueofRetailingRetailingsellingtoendusersConsumerUtilitiesOfferedbyRetailingPlaceFormPossessionTimeTheGlobalEconomicImpactofRetailingII.ClassifyingRetailOutletsFormo
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
MKT327:Ch.18ImplementingInteractiveandMultichannelMarketing05:13Shorterchapterintermsofpossibleitemsonexam*Promotionalchaptersmostimportantpersonalselling,advertising,salespromotion; spendmosttimehereI.CreatingCustomerValue,Relationships,andExperien
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 18, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1LO2Describe what interactive marketingis and how it creates customer value,customer r
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 16, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Explain the differences betweenproduct advertising and institutionaladvertising and th
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 17, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Discuss the nature and scope ofpersonal selling and salesmanagement in marketing.LO2
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
CHAPTER 12 NOTESPricing Price= know definition and difference between cost Barter- known as something other than money- used to be known as the land of thecheap tradersbut last 20-30 years US has moved away from bartering.o US is not comfortable with
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 15, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Discuss integrated marketingcommunication and thecommunication process.LO2Describe t
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 14, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Identify retailers in terms of theutilities they provide.LO2Explain the alternative w
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 13, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1LO2Explain what is meant by a marketingchannel of distribution and whyintermediaries
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
CHAPTER 18Interactive & multichannel Marketing(This chapter is shorter in terms of questions on the exam)Promotional Chapters:Personal SellingAdvertisingPromotional*.com boom 1995-1999.com bust 2000 (2nd half of 2000)Didnt bust, kept going up bu
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
CHAPTER 17 NOTESPersonal Selling:Ideally best form of selling because of the one on onenessEx.) Door to door salesman (difficult today though)At its core its most persuasive in marketing* Sales people: Link firm and its customers Are the firm in cos
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
MarketingInstructor LakePaper and Presentation GuidelinesTeam-based Research/Marketing StrategyMemoGroup size:4-5 (See instructor for questions or deviations)Due:Paper due on last day we meetPaper length:2-3 single space pages at most.Format:Se
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 11, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Explain the product life cycle concept.LO2Identify ways that marketingexecutives mana
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 12, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Describe the nature and importance ofpricing and the approaches used toselect an appro
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 9, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Explain what market segmentation isand when to use it.LO2Identify the five steps invol
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 3, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Explain how environmental scanningprovides information about social,economic, technolog
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 2, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Describe two kinds of organizationsand the three levels of strategy inthem.LO2Describ
Michigan State University - MKT - 327
McGraw-Hill/IrwinCopyright 2011 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.LEARNING OBJECTIVES (LO)AFTER READING CHAPTER 1, YOU SHOULD BE ABLE TO:LO1Define marketing and identify thediverse factors influencing marketingactivities.LO2E
Michigan State University - IAH - 207
Midterm NotesFour fold hermeneutics- 1) Literal- find the facts 2) Allegorical- symbolic [good/evil] somethingcould be used such as faith. 3) Moral- learning how to live ethically 4) Anagocic- Mysticalinterpretation something such as nature.ThemesAxe
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
SOLUTIONS TO MIDTERM TEST # 1 ACTSC 431/831, FALL20111. (a) Prcfw_Y L > 60 = 1 Prcfw_Y L 60 = 1 Prcfw_50 + 0.8(X 50) 60 = 0.375.(b) Prcfw_Y P 40 = Prcfw_Y L 40|X > 20 = Prcfw_X 40|X > 20 = 0.25.(c) E (Y L ) =5020x1dx100+8050 (50+ 0.8(x 50)
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
SOLUTIONS TO MIDTERM TEST # 2 ACTSC 431/831, FALL2011k=11. It follows from E (N ) =kpk =k=1bk (a + k )pk1 that E (N ) =2. The loss elimination ratio in the current year is LERX (20) =a+b.1aE (X 20)E (X )= 0.51775.3. (a) Let Ij = 1 if Xj > 3
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Answers to Practice Questions 1 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. (a)FY (y ) = Prcfw_Y y |N = 0 Prcfw_N = 0 + Prcfw_Y y |1 N 5 Prcfw_1 N 5+ Prcfw_Y y |N > 5 Prcfw_N > 50,y < 0,y/100y/2001 0.5 e 0.2 e, y 0.=(b) The probability is Prcfw_Y > 500 = 1 FY
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 1 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. Let Y be the total loss in an insurance portfolio and N be the number of claims in theportfolio. If N = 0, then Y = 0. If 1 N 5, then Y has an exponential distributionwith mean 100. If N > 5, then Y has a
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Answers to Practice Questions 2 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. Let X1 = 1/ X and X2 = eX .(a) We have E (X1 ) =1f (x)dx0xX= and E (X2 ) = E (eX ) = MX (1) = 16/9.Thus, E (Y ) = 0.2E (X1 ) + 0.8E (X2 ) = 1.7767.(b) The probability is Prcfw_Y > E (Y )
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 2 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. Suppose that loss Y has a two-point mixture distribution with the following cdf:FY (y ) = 0.2F1 (y ) + 0.8F2 (y ) for all y,where F1 (y ) and F2 (y ) are the distribution functions of 1X and eX , respecti
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Answers to Practice Questions 3 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. (a) Prcfw_X < 1 = 0.75.(b) The distribution of X is neither DFR nor IFR.(c) X 4 has a heavier tail than X .2. (a) We have a = 600. Then, V ar(X ) = 35.42.(b) We havexFX (x) =fX (t)dt =0,
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 3 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. The conditional hazard rate function of loss X , given = , is h(x|) = x3 . The distributionof is a gamma distribution G(2, 4).(a) Calculate the probability that the loss is less than one.(b) Justify if t
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
ANSWERS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS 4 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. Use the pgf of X to prove that X is innitely divisible.2. (a) Let v = Prcfw_Xj 50. Use PN P (z ) = PN L (1 + v (z 1) to prove that N P isinnitely divisible.i. V ar(N P ) = 2108.05.(b)ii. Cov
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 4 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. Prove that if X has a mixed Poisson distribution and the mixing distribution is innitelydivisible, then X is innitely divisible.2. Let N L be the number of losses. The size of the j th loss is Xj . Assume
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 5 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. The aggregate losses for an insurer is S , which has the following pdffS (x) =2500/x5 , x 5;0,otherwise.The premium charged by the insurer is equal to (1+)E [S ], which is called the expectedvalue pri
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
ANSWERS TO PRACTICES QUESTIONS 5 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. We have625, x 5,x4250020x 5 dx = ,x35502 2500xdx (E (S )2 = .5x95FS (x) = Prcfw_S x = 1 E (S ) =V ar(S ) =Thus, Pr cfw_S (1 + )E [S ] = Pr S E [S ] + V ar(S ) = 0.95 gives =
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
ANSWERS TO PRACTICE QUESTIONS 6 ACTSC 431/831, FALL 20111. (a) The probability isPrcfw_N 3 = 1, N 5 = 2 = Prcfw_N 3 = 1 Prcfw_N 2 = 1 = 0.02747.12121212(b) The probability is Prcfw_N 1 = 0|N 1 = 3 =1252(c) The probability is2Prcfw_N1 =0 Prcf
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Practice Questions 6 ACTSC 331, FALL 20111. The surplus process of an insurer is Ut = u + 1.2 t Nt Xi , t 0, where u 0 is thei=1initial surplus; the claim number process cfw_Nt , t 0 is a Poisson process with rate1; and the claim sizes cfw_X1 , X2 , .
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Project ACTSC 831, FALL 2011Project deadline: 4:00 pm, Friday, December 9. Please submit a hard copy of your projectto M3 4012 or email a PDF le of your project to jcai@uwaterloo.ca by the deadline.Project requirement: Projects must be typed using LaTe
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 ACTSC 431/831, Fall 2011Part 1 Random Variables and Distributional Quantities The distribution function (df ) or cumulative distribution function (cdf ) andsurvival function (sf ) of a random variable (rv) X are dened by
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 - ACTSC 431/831, FALL 2011Part 2 Severity Models1. Severity models are distributions that are used to model the distribution of theamount of a claim/loss.2. The distribution function F (y ) of a random variable Y is call
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 - ACTSC 431/831, FALL 2011Part 3 Frequency Models1. Frequency models are used to model the number of events or claims/losses.2. A counting random variable N is a nonnegative integer-valued random variablewith pf pk = Pcf
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 - ACTSC 431/831, FALL 2011Part 4 Frequency and Severity with Coverage ModicationsLet X be the ground-up loss for an insurance policy or an insurer and assume that X is acontinuous r.v. with cdf F (x), sf S (x), and pdf f
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 - ACTSC 431/831, FALL 2011Part 5 Aggregate Loss ModelsRoughly speaking, an aggregate loss model is used to describe the total loss of an insurance portfolio in a xed time period.1. Individual Risk Model: There are n polic
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
Review Notes for Loss Models 1 - ACTSC 431/831, FALL 2011Part 6 The Classical Continuous Time Ruin ModelIn this part, times are measured in years, unless stated otherwise.1. Poisson Process: Let Nt be the number of claims up to time t or the number of
Waterloo - ACTSC - 431
ACTSC 431/831 LOSS MODELS 1, FALL 2011Instructor: Jun Cai, M3 4012, 519-888-4567 ext. 36990, jcai@uwaterloo.caInstructors Oce Hours: Monday, 14:0016:00.Lectures: 11:3012:20 on Monday, Wednesday, and Friday in MC 2066.Course Webpage: UWACE. Course info
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Parameter estimationActSCi 432/8321 / 31Distributions SummaryX is Binomial with parameters n (positive integer) andp (0, 1)p .f . f (x ) =nxp (1 p )nx for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, .nxE (X ) = np ,Var (X ) = np (1 p )X is Bernoulli with parameters p (0,
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Credibility IActSCi 432/8321 / 16Distributions SummaryX is Binomial with parameters n (positive integer) andp (0, 1)p .f . f (x ) =nxp (1 p )nx for x = 0, 1, 2, 3, .nxE (X ) = np ,Var (X ) = np (1 p )X is Bernoulli with parameters p (0, 1) X i
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Credibility IIActSCi 432/8321 / 22Greatest Accuracy Credibility Theory (GACT)Bayesian approach developed by H. BhlmannuSuppose we have a risk r.v. X that depends on a xed butunknown parameter . (Here can be a vector in general)For example, represe
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Credibility IIIActSCi 432/8321 / 20Linear Exponential Family - A quick reviewDenition (LEF)X LEF if the density is given byf (x ; ) =p (x )e r ()xq ()r () is called the canonical parameter.It turns out that the LEF class contains well-known dist
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Parameter estimation suuplement noteActSCi 432/8321/7Review: Unbiased estimationConsider an iid random sample X = (X1 , ., Xn ) from a modelspecied by its pdf (or pmf) f (x |)Here parameter is a vector or scalar to be estimated from XAn estimator n
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
1!!"#"$%!#&'()*&+%!)*"%!,*&(*$!!-&%.!/0)1!'"*"%-!!This Rate Manual has been approved by theSuperintendent of Insurance of the State of New Yorkand is effective September 1, 1993.FOURTH REPRINT: May 1, 2007Fourth Revision: March 3, 2010This r
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
ActSc 432/832: Loss Models II (Fall 2011)1Course outlineInstructor: Joseph H.T. Kim (M3 3126, ext. 35539, jhtkim@uwaterloo.ca) Best to email me since I do notcheck my voice mail often.Lecture: 2:30-3:20 MWF (MC 4059)Teaching Assistants and oce hours
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Formula sheetThe Normal EquationsE (Xn+1 ) = 0 +Cov (Xi , Xn+1 ) =nj =1nj =1j E (Xj )j Cov (Xi , Xj )Empirical Bayesian Estimation Formulasnim (X Xi )2 ; i = j =1 ij ij=X;ni 1a = (m m1Distributions Summaryri=1r(ni 1)ivi = =1r(ni
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Name:ID:1. The random variable has pdf . It is known that =1000. You are given the following fiveobservations: 43 145 233 396 775 (sample mean = 318.4).Determine the method-of-moments estimate of .A.B.C.D.E.<44<4.24.2<4.44.4<4.6>4.62. Suppo
Waterloo - ACTSC - 432
Name:ID:1. A random variable X is assumed to satisfy X|( = ) ~ Pareto (, = 1200), and thus= , x > 0 and the prior distribution for is Exponential with mean 5, i.e. , >0. Determine theposterior distribution of given X = 155 (i.e. say which type of dist
Waterloo - ACTSC - 463
1. Use the following data to answer the questions below. Assume this company does not reserve for salvage or subrogation recoveries.Claim # Acc. Year Rep. Year1200520052200520063200620064200720075200720076200720087200820088200620
Waterloo - ACTSC - 463
1. Use the transactional data to create the cumulative data:Paid Triangle20052006200720081250070072050024700900900362300105048230012120020015755002417005001000365002004850012170090022951000242400140019003628001
Waterloo - ACTSC - 463
1. Use the transactional data (as of December 31, 2008) to develop cumulative accident year paidand incurred loss triangles.Claim #1112233455566777891010Acc Date12-Jan-0512-Jan-0512-Jan-0510-Mar-0510-Mar-0501-Nov-0501-Nov-05