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Lecture 18 December 6

Course: 790 104, Spring 2008
School: Rutgers
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in Today Comparative Politics Parliamentary, Presidential and Mixed Democracies Two Visions of Democracy: Implications for Democratic Institutions Looking ahead Final Exam College Avenue Gym Annex Thursday, December 16 Not in Scott 123! 8 to 11 am Final exam Thursday, December 16 8 to 11 a.m. College Avenue Gym Annex NOT in Scott ! Three Types of Democracy Presidential Parliamentary Mixed...

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in Today Comparative Politics Parliamentary, Presidential and Mixed Democracies Two Visions of Democracy: Implications for Democratic Institutions Looking ahead Final Exam College Avenue Gym Annex Thursday, December 16 Not in Scott 123! 8 to 11 am Final exam Thursday, December 16 8 to 11 a.m. College Avenue Gym Annex NOT in Scott ! Three Types of Democracy Presidential Parliamentary Mixed Classification depends on the relationship between Government Legislature President (if any) Government A parliamentary democracy: government depends only on a legislative majority to exist. The government comprises a prime minister and the cabinet. Prime minister = political chief executive and head of the government Cabinet: ministers who head the various government departments. In a parliamentary democracy, the executive branch = the government What Distinguishes Them? A presidential democracy : the government does not depend on a legislative majority to exist. A parliamentary democracy: the government depends only on a legislative majority to exist. A mixed democracy: the government depends on a legislative majority and on an independently elected president to exist. Legislative responsibility: legislative majority has the constitutional power to remove a government from office without cause. Legislature removes a government by means of a vote of no confidence. Government Ministerial responsibility: constitutional doctrine by which cabinet ministers must bear ultimate responsibility for what happens in their ministry. Collective cabinet responsibility: doctrine by which ministers must publicly support collective cabinet decisions or resign. Government Formation New governments form in parliamentary democracies in two circumstances: 1. Following elections 2. During an inter-election period, following the resignation of the current government How do governments form? Government must enjoy the confidence of the legislature both to come to power and to stay in power. All governments need the support of a legislative majority. Which Parties Form the Government? If a single party controlled a majority of the legislative seats, that party usually forms the government. But what happens when there is no majority party? It is relatively rare to have majority parties in parliamentary democracies. 81% of the governments that formed in Western Europe from 1945 to 1998 emerged from political situations in which there was no majority party. Government Formation Formateur: person designated to form the government; the formateur is often the PM designate. The leader from the party winning the most seats normally acts as formateur. Once the formateur is chosen, he needs to put a government together that is acceptable to a legislative majority. The ability to nominate cabinet members is one of the most important powers held by the formateur. In single-party governments, PM has enormous discretion. In coalition governments, PM is more constrained. Cabinets and Political Objectives Office seeking politician Interested in the intrinsic benefits of office Wants as many ministerial portfolios as possible Policy seeking politician Wants only to shape policy Pure Office-Seeking Model In this case, a formateur can get other parties to join the government only by giving them ministerial portfolios. Strong empirical evidence that you have to give large parties more office than small parties. Gamsons Law: Cabinet portfolios will be distributed among government parties in strict proportion to the number of seats that each party contributes to the governments legislative majority. Coalition theories in one dimension 100 seats in Parliament 7 parties There are many possible majority coalitions. Actually, 61 of them Which coalitions will form? Coalition theories in one dimension 1.von Neumann and Morgenstern: only minimal winning coalitions will form. A coalition is minimal winning if removal of any party makes it a minority coalition. BE, ABF, ACE, ADE, AEF, AEG, ABCD, ABCG, CDEF, DEFG are all minimal winning. Argument: Once you reach a majority, why give away valuable Cabinet portfolios to additional parties? Coalition theories in one dimension 2.Riker: Only a minimum winning coalition with the smallest number of seats will form. Argument: Parties value Cabinet positions. The larger is a partys share of seats, the more Cabinet posts it can claim. CDEF is the uniquely smallest minimal winning coalition. 5 + 4 + 33 + 9 = 51 Coalition theories in one dimension 3. Lieserson: A majority coalition with the smallest possible number of parties is most likely to form. Argument: Forming a majority government requires costly bargaining among potential coalition members. Such costs increase with the number of parties. There is no 1-member majority coalition. BE is the sole 2-member majority coalition. Pure Policy-Seeking Model With parties pursuing this objective, a formateur can induce them to join the government only by giving them policy concessions. In other words, the formateur cannot implement policy at his own ideal point. Instead, he has to implement a coalition policy that is somewhere between the ideal points of all his coalition partners. Likely that a formateur will have to give more policy concessions to large parties than small parties. Pure Policy-Seeking Model Implication 1: want to form coalitions with parties that are located close to you in the policy space. As a result, you will form a particular type of coalition government called a connected coalition. A connected coalition: the member parties are located directly next to each other in the policy space. Implication 2: choose the connected least MWC because you do not want to buy more legislative seats with policy than you strictly have to. Coalition theories in one dimension 4.Axelrod: A minimal connected majority coalition will form. A coalition is connected if every party lying between two members of the coalition also belongs to the coalition. Argument: Any party should prefer to join with its ideological neighbors: whatever policy compromise they choose will be close to its preferred position. There are 4 minimal connected majority coalitions: ABCD, BCDE, CDEF, and DEFG. What do the data tell us? Sample of 218 parliamentary governments in European nations using proportional representation between 1945 and 1987 Using survey data, subjective expert judgments, and analyses of party platforms, scholars have located parties along LeftRight the dimension. What do the data tell us? Each of the models is consistent with some governments in the sample. Minimal winning coalition model does the best. About 2/3 of the multiparty governments involved minimal winning coalitions. Nearly all of the minimal connected winning governments were also minimal winning coalitions. But more than 1/3 of the governments did not have a majority at all, contradicting all of these models. Presidential Democracy A democracy in which the government does not depend on a legislative majority to exist. The government comprises the president and the cabinet. The president is the political chief executive and head of the state. Government Formation and Survival in Presidential Regimes The government in presidential democracies cannot be dismissed by the legislature even if a majority of legislators want this to happen. No votes of no confidence President is always the formateur. President appoints (and dismisses) whomever he wants to the cabinet. Presidents party is included in the cabinet regardless of its legislative size. If the government formation process fails in a parliamentary democracy, then we get new elections, a new round of bargaining, or a caretaker government. If the government fails to win opposition support in a presidential democracy, then the presidents party just rules on its own. Mixed Democracy Government depends on a legislative majority and on an independently elected president to exist. The government consists of a prime minister and a cabinet. In a mixed democracy, the executive branch consists of the government and the president. President is part of the executive branch but not part of the government. Cohabitation No guarantee that the president and the prime minister will come from the same political party. Cohabitation: a president from one political bloc and a prime minister from another The president nearly always gets to appoint the prime minister. So, why do we get cohabitation? President may need to appoint a prime minister from an opposition party when the presidents party or bloc does not control a legislative majority. Recent examples France: 1986-1988, 1993-1995, 1997-2002 Sri Lanka: 2001-2003 Ukraine: 2006-2007 Majoritarian vs. Consensus Institutions Arrows Theorem and the related oligarchy and veto-power theorems pose an institutional "trilemma." Suppose we take as necessary the Unanimity and Pairwise Determination conditions. Given those requirements, collective decisionmaking institutions can deliver, at most, two of the the three following desirable qualities: Decisive choices for most or all configurations of citizens preferences Coherent and stable choices E.g., transitivity or the absence of cycles Absence of sharp inequalities of power E.g., dictatorship, oligarchy, extensive veto power All constitutions confront tradeoffs Designers of constitutions have responded to these tradeoffs in two characteristic ways: Concentrate Power Creating majoritarian systems Disperse Power Creating consensus systems Such systems are configurations of governance institutions that correspond to two competing visions of democracy. Majoritarian Systems Teams of politicians compete for the support of voters. The team selected by a majority of voters are then given unfettered control over policy. Voters observe social, economic, and political outcomes and decide whether to retain or replace the team that are held responsible for producing those outcomes Institutions are designed to maximize clarity of responsibility and accountability Consensus System Representative institutions are created so as to reflect the preferences of as many voters as possible. Legislators represent the interests of the full spectrum of voters and vote on issues the way "citizens themselves would have voted." Institutions are designed to maximize the representation of all views found in society and to make sure that decisions reflect consideration of minority views Institutional configurations: ideal types Majoritarian Majoritarian Two parties Single-party majority Consensus Electoral system Party system Government type Proportional Many parties Coalition/minority Unitary Authority levels Federal Unicameral Legislative form Bicameral Legislative supremacy Parliamentary United Kingdom, Jamaica, Trinidad Constitutional arbiter Higher-law constitution Regime type Presidential Prototypical examples Switzerland, Belgium, Netherlands Evaluating Democracies Accountability Clarity of Responsibility Mandates Government identifiability Representation Responsiveness Congruence Majoritarian systems monitor, reward, and punish Accountability: are voters able to reward or punish parties for their behavior in office? Clarity of responsibility : are voters able to identify exactly who it is that is responsible for the policies that are implemented? Accountability via retrospective voting Using past performance of incumbent parties to decide how to vote in the current election Majoritarian systems allow voters to elect candidates who promise desired policies A mandate is a policy that the government is both authorized and obligated to carry out once in office. Government identifiability refers to the extent to which voters can identify what government alternatives they are voting for at election time Prospective voting Majoritarian Institutions Maximize Clarity of Responsibility and Accountability Clarity of Responsibility Accountability Dictatorships High Low Consensus democracies Low Medium Majoritarian democracies High High Majoritarian Institutions Maximize Clarity of Responsibility and Accountability Clarity of Responsibility Accountability Dictatorships High Low Consensus democracies Low Medium Majoritarian democracies High High Majoritarian Institutions Maximize Clarity of Responsibility and Accountability Clarity of Responsibility Accountability Dictatorships High Low Consensus democracies Low Medium Majoritarian democracies High High Consensus Democracies Emphasize Importance of Representation Two dimensions of Representation Responsiveness, or dynamic representation, how well elected representatives respond to changes in the preferences of the electorate. Congruence, or static representation, refers to how well elected representatives match the preferences of the electorate. Majoritarian and Consensus Democracies: Electoral Success v. Policymaking Power
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Today in Comparative Politics Consequences of democratic politicalinstitutions: income redistribution Where to from here? Preparing for the exam Course evaluationsFinal ExamCollege Avenue Gym AnnexThursday, December 16Not in Scott 123!8 to 11 am
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Basiswalkwalkswalkedwalkingrunranrunning||1010101001010 |1 |D1|||||||D21100110#VALUE!0ab15535-23-6 15 14ba135-235 140 |0 |0 |0 |4 |0 |0 |
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COS010203040506070809001.00000.98480.93970.86600.76600.64280.50000.34200.17360.000010.99980.98160.93360.85720.75470.62930.48480.32560.156420.99940.97810.92720.84800.74310.61570.46950.30900.139230.99860.97440.92
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