9 Pages

01 Introduction to International Trade

Course: ECON 181, Spring 2009
School: Berkeley
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to International Introduction Economics Agenda International Economics What is International Economics All About? International Economics studies the special issues raised by economic transactions between sovereign nations. Why Study International Trade? The study of international economics is very old. 7 Major Themes in International Economics. The first formal exposition was David Humes On the...

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to International Introduction Economics Agenda International Economics What is International Economics All About? International Economics studies the special issues raised by economic transactions between sovereign nations. Why Study International Trade? The study of international economics is very old. 7 Major Themes in International Economics. The first formal exposition was David Humes On the Balance of Trade in 1758. 1 International Economics International Economics International economics continues to grow in importance with increasing globalization and its backlash. Globalization is the process of intensifying the connections between national economies through: 2 International trade in goods and services, International factor movements, International flows of money, and International financial investments. 3 We use the same fundamental methods of analysis as other branches of economics. The motives and behavior of individuals and businesses are the same in international trade as they are in domestic transactions. 4 1 International Economics International Trade Focuses primarily on transactions of goods and services across countries. Two broad subfields: International trade, and Involves the physical movement of goods and/or International finance. The commitment of tangible resources like labor services. 5 International Finance 6 International Trade and Finance Focuses on financial transactions across countries. No simple dividing line between the two. Most international trade involves monetary transactions and Involves the exchange of financial assets. Many international monetary events have important consequences for trade. 7 8 2 International Trade Why Study International Trade? International economics has grown in importance as the world economy has become increasingly integrated. We will focus on international trade. Develop analytical theories to explain the patterns of international trade. Trade has grown as a share of world GDP. Including who benefits and who loses from trade. Trade as a fraction of national income has tripled in the US over the past 40 years. Apply trade theory to the analysis of government trade policies. Compared to the US, other countries are even more dependent on international trade. 9 Trade has Increased in the U.S. 10 Trade More Important Elsewhere 11 12 3 Why Study International Trade? Why Study International Trade? International economics is important to understanding many of the key events that have shaped the domestic and international economic environment. Other measures of globalizationforeign direct investment and international capital flowshave also increased dramatically. Why have trade flows and globalization increased so much? Integration of China, India, Eastern Europe into the world trading system. Globalization/anti-globalization. 13 Why Study International Trade? 14 Why Study International Trade? More key events: More Key Events: Free trade/fair trade/trade protection. Exchange rate appreciations/depreciations. Multilateral/Bilateral trade agreements. Current account surpluses/deficits. Monetary union. International debt crises/Currency crises. 15 16 4 Why Study International Trade? 7 Major Themes As the world economy has become increasingly integrated, policy makers must take into account economic and political events everywhere in the world. 1. The Gains from Trade 2. The Patterns of Trade 3. The Effects of Government Policy on Trade 4. 5. 6. 7. The Balance of Payments Exchange Rate Determination International Coordination International Policy Capital Markets 17 The Gains from Trade 18 The Gains from Trade Two basic ideas underlie these gains. The single most important insight from international economics is that there are economic gains from trade for both trading partners. When buyers and sellers engage in voluntary transactions, both must have gained from the transaction; trade is not a zero-sum; there are mutual gains to trade. Countries can specialize in production but still consume a wide variety of goods and services through trade. 19 20 5 The Gains from Trade The Patterns of Trade Although international trade will benefit countries as a whole, it may harm particular groups within a country. International trade may have strong effects on the distribution of income within a country. Patterns of trade are influenced by: Differences in labor productivity, Differences in technologies, Differences in resource endowment, Conflicts about trade should occur between groups within countries rather than between countries. Differences in factor intensity, 21 The Patterns of Trade 22 The Patterns of Trade Patterns of trade are influenced by: Each of these factors influences the pattern of trade and determines the distribution of gains and losses between and within economies. The short-run fixity of factors of production, Differences in tastes and preferences, First mover advantages and economies of scale, Imperfect competition, or We will examine each of these factors separately and evaluate their relative importance empirically. It may be random. 23 24 6 The Effects of Government Policies on Trade The Effects of Government Policies on Trade Policy makers can affect the amount of trade through: We will develop a simple yet powerful analytical framework for determining the effects of government policies on international trade. Tariffs, Quotas, Who wins and who loses from various government policies. Export subsidies, and Which government policies should be used? Other regulations. 25 The Effects of Government Policies on Trade 26 The Balance of Payments Measures the value of exports and imports and the value of international financial flows into and out of a country. Attempts by government to shield some sectors of the economy from the effects of international trade will hurt welfare generally but may improve welfare for the protected sectors. These have become very large numbers for many countries. What are the consequences of this? 27 28 7 Exchange Rate Determination International Policy Coordination A key difference between international economics and other areas of economics is that countries usually have their own currencies. In an increasingly integrated world economy, one countrys economic policies will affect other countries as well. The exchange rate is determined by the flows of international trade and finance. International trade policies International macroeconomic policies Exchange rates can change dramatically over time which affects the value of exports and imports. 29 International Capital Markets 30 International Capital Markets International capital markets differ in important ways from domestic capital markets. There are special risks associated with international capital markets. Especially by regulations on capital inflows and outflows. 31 Currency fluctuations, Capital controls, and National default. 32 8 A Look Ahead Explaining the Volume of Trade Explaining the Pattern of Trade Analyzing the Effects of Government Trade Policies 33 9
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Berkeley - ECON - 181
World Trade: An OverviewWho Trades with Whom? Who Trades with Whom? The USs 5 largest trading partners areCanada, China, Mexico, Japan, and Germany. The Gravity Model Most US trade is with its top 10 tradingpartners. Other Factors Influencing Trad
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Ricardian Model, Part 1Introduction AgendaThere are 2 broad theories to explain thepattern of international trade. Introduction1. Differences in labor, physical capital, naturalresources, and technology create productiveadvantages for countrie
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Ricardian Model, Part 2The Ricardian Model Agenda The Foreign Country:The Foreign CountryOpportunity Cost, Relative Prices, and WagesAbsolute and Comparative AdvantageThe Pattern of TradeThe Gains from TradeRelative Wages after Trade Suppose
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Ricardian Model, Part 3Misconceptions Agenda The Productivity/Competitiveness Argument Misconceptions about Comparative Advantage Free trade is beneficial only if a country is moreproductive than foreign countries. Comparative Advantage with Ma
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Heckscher-Ohlin Model, Part 1A Two-Factor Autarky Economy Agenda Assumptions:A Two-Factor Autarky Economy.Production PossibilitiesGoods PricesFactor Prices and Factor LevelsGoods Prices, Factor Prices, and Factor Levels Only 2 countries: Home and
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Heckscher-Ohlin Model, Part 2Resources and Outputw/r Agenda: Resources and Output Effects of International Trade Relative Supply, Relative Demand, Relative Prices The Pattern of Trade Trade and the Distribution of IncomePC / P FT/L12Resources
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Heckscher-Ohlin Model, Part 3Factor-Price Equalization Agenda: Without trade, Factor-Price Equalization labor-abundant Home has a lower relative price ofcloth than land-abundant Foreign, and Short-Run Income Distribution Trade and Income Inequalit
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Specific Factors Model, Part 1Introduction1. Introduction to the Specific Factors Model What is a Specific Factor?2. Assumptions of the Model The specific factors model recognizes that thereare factors of production that are permanently tiedto
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Specific Factors Model, Part 2Changes in Prices3. An Autarky Economy What happens to the allocation of labor and thedistribution of income when there is:Changes in Absolute and Relative Prices An Equal Proportional Change in Prices?4. A Trading
Berkeley - ECON - 181
The Standard Trade Model, Part 1Introduction1. Introduction2. The Standard Trade ModelThree different models have been developed:1. The Ricardian model.a. Production Functions, Production Possibilities,and Relative Supplyb. Community Indifference
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Standard Trade Model, Part 2Economic Growth3. Economic Growtha.b.c.d.Economic Growth and the PPFDomestic Effects of Economic GrowthRelative Supply and the Terms of TradeInternational Effects of Economic GrowthThe effects of economic growth in a
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Standard Trade Model, Part 3Introduction5. Tariffs and Export Subsidiesa.b.c.d.e. A tariff is a tax on imports. The direct effect is to make imported goods moreexpensive inside a country than they are outside.IntroductionEffects of a TariffEf
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Economies of Scale, Part 1Introduction Introduction An analysis of trade based on economies ofscale has issues that have been avoided so far. Economies of Scale and Trade So far, markets have been assumed to be perfectlycompetitive. Market Structu
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Economies of Scale, Part 2Monopolistic Competition Monopolistic CompetitionMonopolistic Competition ModelMarket EquilibriumLimitations of the ModelMonopolistic Competition and TradeGains from an Integrated MarketScale Economies and Comparative Adv
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Economies of Scale, Part 3Theory of External Economies External Economies of Scale When economies of scale apply at the level ofthe industry rather than at the level of theindividual firm, they are called externaleconomies.The Theory of External Ec
Berkeley - ECON - 181
International Factor Movements, 1Introduction Introduction International trade involves the causes andeffects of the international exchange of goodsand services. International Labor MobilityA One-Good Model without Labor MobilityA One-Good Model w
Berkeley - ECON - 181
International Factor Movements, 2 International Capital Mobility Introduction Inter-Temporal Production Possibilities FrontiersIntroduction Saving (lending) and investment (borrowing)can be interpreted as a kind of trade orexchange in consumption g
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Instruments of Trade Policy, Part 1Consumer and Producer SurplusP The Theory of Trade Policy Consumer and Producer Surplus Supply, Demand, and Trade in a Single Industry Costs and Benefits of Free TradeSP0 Basic Tariff AnalysisIntroductionEffec
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Instruments of Trade Policy, Part 2Export Subsidies Non-Tariff Barriers to Trade: An export subsidy is a payment to a firm thatships a good abroad. Export Subsidies It can be either specific or ad valorem. Import Quotas Voluntary Export Restraints
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Political Economy of Trade PolicyThe Case for Free Trade Agenda:The case for free trade rests primarily on 4arguments: The Case for Free Trade1. Free trade and economic efficiency The Case Against Free Trade2. Efficiencies from economies of scale
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Political Economy of Trade PolicyInternational Trade Negotiations Agenda: The great postwar liberalization of trade wasachieved through international tradenegotiations, i.e., governments agreed toengage in mutual tariff reduction. International Tra
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Trade Policy, Developing CountriesTrade Policy, Developing Countries Agenda: Introduction: Introduction Trade is important for developing countries. Exports average about 35% in developing countries. Exports average about 20% in developed countries
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Trade Policy, Developing Countries Agenda: The shift of developing countries toward freertrade is arguably the big trade policy story ofthe past 2 decades. Trade Liberalization since 1985 Export-Oriented IndustrializationTrade Liberalization since
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Controversies in Trade PolicyControversies in Trade Policy Agenda: New Arguments for Activist Trade Policy.Introduction:Two major controversies in international tradehave arisen in recent years. Technology and Externalities.1. A new set of argumen
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Controversies in Trade PolicyThe Anti-Globalization Movement Agenda: Introduction: The Anti-Globalization Movement. The rise of manufactured exports from developingcountries is one of the major shifts in the worldeconomy over the last 25 years. Gl
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Antidumping DutiesAntidumping, Countervailing Duties Policy Response to Foreign Dumping Policy Response to Foreign Export Subsides Dumping occurs when a firm is exportinggoods at a price that is below the price in itshome market. WTO rules allow an
Berkeley - ECON - 181
AgendaCourse evaluation Course evaluation Constructive criticisms are welcomed. Problem Set and Exam #1 Scores Suggestions for improving the class and thelearning experience are encouraged. Final Exam Recommendations for additional topics tocover
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2007Exam #1Please sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking thistest. I wi
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2008Exam #1Please sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking this test. I wi
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _ANSWERS_(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2007Exam #2 ANSWERSPlease sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2007Exam #2Please sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking thistest. I wi
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2008Exam #2Please sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking this test. I wi
Berkeley - ECON - 181
Name: _ANSWERS_(Last name, first name)SID: _UGBA 118International TradeProfessor Steven WoodFall 2008Exam #2 ANSWERSPlease sign the following oath:The answers on this test are entirely my own work. I neither gave nor received any aid while taking
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ECO 544 Assignment 61.VariablesCoefficient47.261555.502200.240189.164864.72339-13.25955-1.089880.27171-1.06803Standard Errors3.622350.756630.730861.250080.600720.726211.205660.060130.79045t-statistics13.057.270.337.337.86-18.2
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