St John- Week 6_ Africa China trade

St John- Week 6_ Africa China trade - African trade and...

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African trade and Sino- seismic market shifts Investigating the developmental effects of African trade with the Red Dragon By St John Simpson
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Structure of Presentation Potential gains from China bound trade Potential threats from a shift in market orientation toward China Current composition of African exports Policy implications
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Potential gains Endowment complementarity- Resource rich Africa and Capital and Capabilities rich China Potential to develop backward & forward linkages 75% of African exports in Additive VC goods, volumetric barriers to trade in raw products Structural break in terms of trade – no longer running against commodities Chinese buyers more willing to try new products/new suppliers- then show brand loyalty Potential for active integration with large growing Asian market Lower standards required in Chinese markets- more suited to less industrialised exporters Cheaper Chinese imports displacing more expensive imports from non-SSA countries
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