Psyc ch1 Notes

Psyc ch1 Notes - 1/21/2007 2:22:00 PM Two phenomena-...

Info iconThis preview shows pages 1–2. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
21/01/2007 16:22:00 Two phenomena- hindsight bias and judgemental over confidence- illistuate why  we cannot reply soley on intuition and common sense. Hindsight Bias: The tendency to believe afer learning an outcome, that one would  have forseen it Also known as the I-knew-it-all-along phenomenon Finding that something has happened makes it seem inevitable .  Psycholigists paul slovic and Varuch Fischhoff (1977) have called this 20/20  hindsight vision hindsight bias Example- Pyschologists tell one group separation weakens romantic attraction  and the other group that it strengthens it.  Both can believe it and explain it.  Both the  true and false statements can be seen as unsurprisingly common sense. When both a supposed finding and an opposite finding seem like common sense  there is a problem Such errors in our recollections and explinations show why we need  psychological research Common sense describes what has happened moreeasly than predicts what will  happen We have a deep “need to belong” “Good ideas in psychology usually have an oddly amiliar quality and the moment 
Background image of page 1

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
Image of page 2
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

This note was uploaded on 02/27/2008 for the course PSYC 1001 taught by Professor King,brett during the Spring '08 term at Colorado.

Page1 / 5

Psyc ch1 Notes - 1/21/2007 2:22:00 PM Two phenomena-...

This preview shows document pages 1 - 2. Sign up to view the full document.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Ask a homework question - tutors are online