Statistics Syllabus - Syllabus BSTAT 3321 Professor R.C...

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Unformatted text preview: Syllabus: BSTAT 3321 Professor: R.C. Baker, Ph.D. Office Number: COBA 601 Telephone Number: (817) 272-­‐3547 (UTA), (817) 274-­‐5908 (home – weekends ok) Email Address: [email protected] Office Hours: Tues 10:00 am – 10:50 am, after class, or any time you can track me down (24/7) home or work. Course: BSTAT 3321, Baby Statistics Time and Place of Class Meetings: COBA 239 (11 am) or COBA 243 (5:30 pm), Tues/Thur Seating Chart: I will prepare a seating chart based on where you sit the first class, so get there early if you have a preferred seat. This will allow me to call on students who do not appear to be paying attention during my lecture, so please pay attention (as boring as it may seem to you) Review Sessions Outside of Regular Class: Anytime/anywhere (UTA or my home provided my wife is present) at least 5 students wish to meet with me subject to my availability. Schedule in class so other student can attend. Description of Course Content: This course introduces the student to statistical methods for managerial decision making with special emphasis on the role and value statistics can play in solving problems in business and industry. The student will come to know and apply the descriptive and inferential aspects of statistics in real-life situations. See the Undergraduate Catalog for a more detail description. Critical Success Factors: Work problems, work problems, work problems, and then work some more problems. Main thing is to have fun, enjoy the course, and become rich and famous because you understand this “statistics stuff”. Vision Statement for BSTAT 3321 Our vision for BSTAT3321 is that students will become competent consumers of statistical information they will encounter in their professional and personal lives. Students will be able to perform basic statistical analyses and to think critically when interpreting statistical results. Learning Outcomes for BSTAT 3321 Our vision for BSTAT3321 is that students will become competent consumers of statistical information they will encounter in their professional and personal lives. Students will be able to perform basic statistical analyses and to think critically when interpreting statistical results. Learning Outcomes for BSTAT 3321 1. The student will be able to *evaluate verbal, numeric, and graphic descriptions of a data set. 2. The student will be able to select a simple random sample and to evaluate the role of randomness in data collection (both sampling and experimentation). The student will restrict causal inferences to data collected from experiments. 3. The student will be able to analyze probability problems by choosing and applying basic laws of probability, computing and interpreting results. 4. The student will be able to distinguish between discrete and continuous random variables, find binomial and normal probabilities using tables, and compute expected value and variance for a binomial distribution. The student will be able to analyze binomial and normal probabilities. 5. The student will be able to analyze scenarios appropriate for the Central Limit Theorem and choose the sampling distributions to find and interpret probabilities for the sample mean and sample proportion. 6. The student will be able to set up, calculate, and interpret confidence intervals for a population mean and a population proportion and to determine sample sizes for given levels of confidence and margins of error. 7. The student will be able to set up and test hypotheses about a population mean and a population proportion and to interpret the results. 8. The student will be able to fit and interpret simple linear regression models along with the usual inferences. 9. The student will be able to use a software package in order to perform appropriate statistical analyses. 10. The student will be able to select and justify appropriate statistical techniques for a given scenario. *For all topics, the student will be able to demonstrate knowledge and comprehension, for example by defining the new terms in the topic and describing and restating the concepts covered in each topic. The abilities to apply, analyze, synthesize and evaluate are assumed to be hierarchal. In other words, the ability to evaluate and synthesize presumes an ability to analyze and apply. Likewise the ability to analyze presumes an ability to apply. The course grade reflects the proportion of topics that the student masters. Suggested Textbooks and Other Course Materials: BSTAT3321/5301 The University of Texas at th Arlington, Keller, 10 Edition, Statistics for Management and Economics, UT Arlington BSTAT 3321, Special version of this text for our course. You must have at a minimum, SOME business statistic book, preferably the Keller book, but any business statistics text could do. Your statistics text can be used by you to read in detail about different statistical tools we will cover in class. Excel WILL be used in this course. If you have not worked with Excel, you will be expected to learn enough on your own to survive. If you will take BSTAT 3322, buy the complete version of the text. Grading Policy: There will be 3 tests (20% each), a cumulative comprehensive final examination (20%), and brief weekly/daily quizzes/homework (20%) – Do not schedule a trip on the day of our final to travel home to visit friends or family. Check the final schedule on MyMav. Homework or daily quizzes WILL NOT be accepted late for any reason. No make-­‐up tests will be given for a missed test. Your grade on the final will count for the missed test. In other words, you final will count for 40% (20% for final and 20% for missed test) of your grade. If you miss no test, you final will substitute for your lowest test grade, assuming it is larger. In this case, your final will also count for 40% of your grade. If you miss two or all three tests, you will receive a 0 on these missed tests. A standard 10-­‐point grade scale will be in effect (i.e., 90-­‐100 = A, 80-­‐89 = B, etc.). No cell phones OR laptops will be allowed anywhere visible to your eyes or mine DURING LECTURES. If I see you using either device during my lectures, I will deduct 5 points from you final average in this course for each violation (NOT REAL WISE TO DO THIS). You will be allowed to have 2 cheat sheets (8.5 by 11 inches, front and back with anything you want on these sheets) on each test and 8 on the final plus a calculator (NOT a laptop or a cell phone – calculators with a square root function are very cheap so borrow one or buy one). You are responsible to show up for each test with a calculator (don’t expect to use your classmate’s calculator or your cell phone calculator). You can also have copies of the following statistical tables to use on all test after Test 1 (Binomial tables, Poisson tables, Normal tables, and t-­‐tables). You should copy these tables from the back of any statistics book and bring to class each day in order to get familiar with the format of the tables you copied. You will need these tables on all tests after Test 1, SO MAKE YOUR COPIES NOW. Classroom behavior: Be nice. Attendance Policy: Regular class attendance is an absolute necessity. If you must miss class for some reason, you are still responsible for the material you missed. Any class attendance and lateness policies introduced in this class include by reference all provisions for grade adjustment or drop policies included in the applicable Graduate or Undergraduate Catalog in effect at the start of the semester. No student will be dropped from the class rolls for never attending class or for accumulating excess absences. Failing to attend class will hurt your daily quiz average. Drop Policy: The University of Texas at Arlington’s drop policy will be in effect for this course. It is your responsibility to know this policy. Laptops, cell phones and other electronic devices: Absolutely NO electronic devices will be allowed on your desk or in your lap during my lectures. If, for some reason, you have a special problem that might require you to answer your cell phone during class, discuss it with me at the start of the class. I would suggest that you make copies of the power point slides (at most 2 per page to allow note taking) and bring to class. VIOLATION OF THE NO ELECTRONIC DEVICES POLICY ON YOUR DESK OR LAP WILL RESULT IN 5 POINTS BEING DEDUCTED FROM YOU FINAL AVERAGE. Schedule: There is no fixed schedule for this course in order to allow for variation (a statistical thing) associated with the time it takes for different classes to complete various topics. The sequential topics covered are listed below with tentative location of scheduled tests. You will be notified of a scheduled test during class at least 6 days before test. Topics Syllabus, survey of course, introduction to statistics Types of data, Statistical tools to summarize data (graphical and numerical techniques) Graphical techniques to describe data (histograms, bar charts, pie charts, pareto charts) Time series data, plotting times series data Scatter diagrams, plotting scatter diagrams Numerial techniques for describing data: Central location, variability, relative standing Data collection/sampling TEST 1 (TBD)* Probability (Bayes problems) Discrete probability distributions: binomial and poisson Continuous probability distributions: normal, t, and F distributions TEST 2 (TBD)* Sampling distributions: single mean, single proportion, difference in means Single mean problems: estimation, confidence intervals, and hypothesis testing Single proportion problems: estimation, confidence intervals, and hypothesis testing TEST 3 (TBD)* Linear regression and correlation FINAL (check Final Schedule) * Test dates will be announced at least 6 days in advance NOTES: 1. Numerous problems will be provided in the power point slides and other files for you to work. 2. Find additional problems of the type covered in class in your statistics text 3. As soon as the schedule for our STAT Lab is finalized, I will let you know. 4. Some old tests will be posted on blackboard BUT these do not reflect what may be on your test (just examples of the type of questions you could expect) 5. I do not give strictly multiple choice or true/false tests. You will have to work problems on each test and show your work. 6. The list of topics shown above are not intended to be an exhaustive list of everything we will cover, so be sure to attend class to clarify topics. Americans With Disabilities Act: The University of Texas at Arlington is on record as being committed to both the spirit and letter of federal equal opportunity legislation; reference Public Law 92-­‐112 -­‐ The Rehabilitation Act of 1973 as amended. With the passage of federal legislation entitled Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA), pursuant to section 504 of the Rehabilitation Act, there is renewed focus on providing this population with the same opportunities enjoyed by all citizens. As a faculty member, I am required by law to provide "reasonable accommodations" to students with disabilities, so as not to discriminate on the basis of that disability. Student responsibility primarily rests with informing faculty of their need for accommodation and in providing authorized documentation through designated administrative channels. Information regarding specific diagnostic criteria and policies for obtaining academic accommodations can be found at . Also, you may visit the Office for Students with Disabilities in room 102 of University Hall or call them at (817) 272-­‐3364. Academic Integrity: It is the philosophy of The University of Texas at Arlington that academic dishonesty is a completely unacceptable mode of conduct and will not be tolerated in any form. All persons involved in academic dishonesty will be disciplined in accordance with University regulations and procedures. Discipline may include suspension or expulsion from the University. "Scholastic dishonesty includes but is not limited to cheating, plagiarism, collusion, and the submission for credit of any work or materials that are attributable in whole or in part to another person, taking an examination for another person, any act designed to give unfair advantage to a student or the attempt to commit such acts." (Regents’ Rules and Regulations, Series 50101, Section 2.2) Student Support Services Available: The University of Texas at Arlington supports a variety of student success programs to help you connect with the University and achieve academic success. These programs include learning assistance, developmental education, advising and mentoring, admission and transition, and federally funded programs. Students requiring assistance academically, personally, or socially should contact the Office of Student Success Programs at 817-­‐ 272-­‐6107 for more information and appropriate referrals. E-­‐Culture Policy: The University of Texas at Arlington has adopted the University email address as an official means of communication with students. Through the use of email, UT-­‐Arlington is able to provide students with relevant and timely information, designed to facilitate student success. In particular, important information concerning registration, financial aid, payment of bills, and graduation may be sent to students through email. All students are assigned an email account and information about activating and using it is available at . New students (first semester at UTA) are able to activate their email account 24 hours after registering for courses. There is no additional charge to students for using this account, and it remains active as long as a student is enrolled at UT-­‐Arlington. Students are responsible for checking their email regularly. ...
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