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Unformatted text preview: Prof. Turner The Earth Transformed 11.1.07 I) The New Environment Forward from the Ehrlich-Simon Debate 1) Paul Ehrlich 2) Julian Simon a Economist b Died in 1998 with prediction that: (i) Material world of humankind will improve (ii) Humankind will complain bitterly that all is getting worse 3) The Bet a P. Ehrlich increasing demand via. Population would stress natures bounty; must relieve stress b J. Simon society is creative and finds substitutes; technological fix c JS to PE: Pick any 5 resources in 1980 and let price in 1990 determine who is correct (i) If more expensive, then Ehrlich is right (ii) If less expensive, then Simon is right. d PE picked copper, chrome, nickel, tin and tungsten [with J. Harte & J. Holdren] 4) Implications-Message a In fact, this stunt means little because of the complexity of factors that affected the metals b In reality, it equaled a profound statement against certain environmentalist views & for certain historico-economic views...
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- Fall '08