Taylor 15 Solutions

Taylor 15 Solutions - Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Demand 8 12 7...

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Month Demand MA3 WMA3 MA3 WMA3 Weights 1 8 0.12 2 12 0.33 3 7 0.55 4 9 9.00 8.77 0.00 0.23 1 5 15 9.33 8.70 5.67 6.30 6 11 10.33 12.06 0.67 1.06 7 10 11.67 12.08 1.67 2.08 8 12 12.00 10.93 0.00 1.07 9 11.00 11.22 MAD 1.60 2.15 MAD 1.60 2.15 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0.00 2.00 4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 Dem MA3 WMA
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and 3 A3
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Year Quarter Demand 1 1 105 2 150 3 93 4 121 2 1 140 2 170 3 105 4 150 3 1 150 2 170 3 110 4 130 1 2 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 Notice that period 2 is consistantly period. No trend or cycle evid
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3 the highest ident.
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Month Demand ExS Trend AExS α 1 -  α Oct 800 800 0 800 0.3 0.7 Nov 725 800 0 800 Dec 630 777.5 -4.5 773 β 1 -  β Jan 500 733.3 -12.5 720.8 0.2 0.8 Feb 645 663.3 -24.0 639.3 Mar 690 657.8 -20.3 637.5 Apr 730 667.5 -14.3 653.2 May 810 686.2 -7.7 678.6 Jun 1200 723.4 1.3 724.6 Jul 980 866.3 29.6 896.0 Aug 900.4 30.5 931.0 MAPD 19.53% 19.23% ExS AExS Dec 147.5 143 Jan 233.3 220.8 Feb 18.3 5.68 Mar 32.2 52.47 Apr 62.5 76.82 May 123.8 131.45 Jun 476.6 475.35 Jul 113.7 84.02 MAPD 19.53% 19.23%
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Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 1300 Column B Column C Column E
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Month OccupancExS Trend AExS Regression α 1 - α 1 0.83 0.830 0.000 0.830 0.783 0.2 0.8 2 0.78 0.830 0.000 0.830 0.797 3 0.75 0.820 -0.002 0.818 0.810 β 1 - β 4 0.81 0.806 -0.004 0.802
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This homework help was uploaded on 04/13/2008 for the course BIT 2406 taught by Professor Llclark during the Spring '07 term at Virginia Tech.

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Taylor 15 Solutions - Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Demand 8 12 7...

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