Unformatted text preview: will break down much as is already the case today in . . . Lebanon, Sri
Lanka, El Salvador, Peru, or Colombia." ° Future wars will be those of communal survival, aggravated or, in many
cases, caused by environmental scarcity. These wars will be subnational,
meaning that it will be hard for states and local governments to protect
their own citizens physically. - THIS IS HOW MANY STATES WILL ULTIMATELY DIE. As state power
fades-~and the state‘s ability to help weaker groups—-peoples and cultures around
the world will be thrown back upon their own strengths and weaknesses, with fewer equalizing mechanisms to protect them.
5. THE LAST MAP - Instead of borders, there would be moving "centers” of power, Replacing ﬁxed
and abrupt lines would be a shifting pattern of buffer entities. - add other factors, such as migrations ofpopulations, explosions of birth rates,
vectors of disease. the "Last Map"——will be an ever-mutating chaos.
- The Indian subcontinent offers examples of what is happening. For different reasons, both India and Pakistan are increasingly dysfunctional.
it is difficult to imagine that the Indian state will survive the next century.
Pakistan's problem is morebasic still: the country makes no geographic or . demographic sense. Pakistan is a patcthrk‘ of ethnic groups,
increasingly in violent conﬂict with one another. ”India and Pakistan will .
probablyxfall apart," ‘ 5 January 2009 - 2:40 PM
CllI55 I325—CP75352009. wpd, page 61...
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