09_10_Poisson_Process

09_10_Poisson_Process - CEE 597 Lecture 10 Poisson Process...

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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 1 CEE 597 – Lecture 10 Poisson Process, Frequency, Probability, and Risk Profiles
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 2 Please help with instruction in this course. Please take a few minutes before class  and fill out questionnaire  attached to today’s handout.  Thank you for your support. Answers to questionnaire can be submitted on blackboard. Summary of last questionnaire in handout today.
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 3 This Week Wednesday   -   Event Trees and Fault Trees Probability review Friday   -   Monday -   Reliability Analyses Morgan article, Reading in Risk, pp. 24-25 Rasmussen, Reading in Risk, pp. 197-201 Yen and Tung, Reliability and Uncertainty in Packet • Benjamin and Cornell, “Models for Random Occurrences,” in  packet  • These Class Notes on Poisson Process
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 4 Poisson process assumptions        Key Ideas Arrival rate Poisson processes Poisson distribution Gamma distribution  frequency of arrivals   probability
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 5 Man-made Hazards Risk Profile for Man-Made Hazards In the United States Morgan, Readings in Risk, p, 11
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 6 Ithaca Journal,  Thursday, Feb 15, 1995 The Ithaca Journal 16 Feb. 1995
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 7 The Station nightclub fire - Rhode Island - 2003  AP Photo/WPRI-TV via CNN Killed 100 people;  injured 200 http://www.cnn.com/interactive/us/03 02/nightclub.fire.gallery/frameset.exclude.html
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 8 The Station Nightclub Fire, Feb. 20, 2003 The fourth deadliest nightclub fire in U.S. history Killed 100 people and injured 200 more in West Warwick in Kent  County, Rhode Island. The fire started when pyrotechnics set off by the Great White rock band lit flammable soundproofing foam behind the stage. Flames first  thought to be part of the act; only as fire reached ceiling and smoke  began to billow people realized it was uncontrolled. Ensuing  stampede in inferno led to the numerous deaths among patrons,  who numbered more than 400. Due to age and size, the nightclub was not required to have a sprinkler  system and it did not have one. From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia, 2006
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 8 Feb. 2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 09 9 Deadliest Nightclub Fires in United States 1990, March, Happyland Fire in the Bronx, New York City, death  toll of 87. 1977 May, Southgate, Kentucky, Beverly Hills Supper Club fire  claimed 165 lives 1940, April, Dance hall, Natchez, Mississippi, killed 204 Nov. 1942, Cocoanut Grove in Boston, 492 died after paper  decorations caught fire.
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This note was uploaded on 03/29/2009 for the course CEE 5950 taught by Professor Carr during the Fall '08 term at Cornell.

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09_10_Poisson_Process - CEE 597 Lecture 10 Poisson Process...

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