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36_37_Risk_Perception

36_37_Risk_Perception - CEE 597 Lecture 36 37 Risk...

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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 1 CEE 597 – Lecture 36 & 37 Risk Perception and  Risk Communication
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 2 Overview of Course Risks in Life Criteria for describing risks Models of Risk Fly vs Drive Networks Airplane Safety Risk Profiles Going 55 Dose-response Event & fault trees AIDS Environmental risk exposure assessment air pollution incinerator multimedia
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 3 Overview of Course - 2 Dose-response relationships and issues Quantitative risk analysis strengths and weaknesses Modeling preferences: risk benefit-cost analysis Policy issues: Morall, Graham and Carrothers, Kelman Sensitivity and Uncertainty analysis, Monte Carlo simulation Next How the  public views risk Communicating with the public Risk Management: how we do it?
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 4 comic California after Earthquake or Fire In New York during December
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 5 Readings (M) Slovic, “Perceptions of Risk” packet (M) Slovic, Fischoff, Lichtenstein, “Ratings of Risk” Readings (W) Fischoff, Watson, and Hope “Defining Risk” Readings (W) Sandman, “Risk=Hazard + Outrage” packet (F) Pough and Krimsky, “Emergence of Risk Comm…” Readings (F) Sandman, “Getting to Maybe: Comm. Aspects of Siting…” Readings (F) Bean, “Speaking of Risk” packet
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 6 Readings - 2 (M) Sandmanm “Telling Reporters” packet (M) Greenburg et al. “Networks News Coverage” packet (W) Lave, “Fixing the System” packet (W) Starr, “Social Benefit versus Technological Risk” Readings (W) Starr, “Risk Management & Assessment” packet (W) Slovic, “Perceived Risk, Trust, and Democracy” packet See top of Hw assignment #11
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 7 Key Ideas this Section Risk perception = Numerical Risk Judgmental Bias: Availability heuristic Role of Dread and Unknown risk factors Signal Accidents Risk communication is a challenge.
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 8 Question Thinking about the actual amount of risk facing our society,  would you say that people are subject to more risk today than  they were 20 years ago, less risk today, or about the same risk  as 20 years ago?
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21 & 23 April  2008 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 9 Question Thinking about the actual amount of risk facing our society, would you  say that people are subject to more risk today than they were 20 years  ago, less risk today, or about the same risk as 20 years ago?
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