are157_homework-2-key

are157_homework-2-key - '[UARED ERRORS Date Actual 3-month...

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'[§UARED ERRORS 1 MOVING AVERAGES IIIIIIIJlEXPONENTIAL SMOOTHINGJlIII Date Actual 3-month wtd. MA 6-month alpha = weights (.6, .3,.1) 0 0.2 0.5 0.8 Mar. 2006 47,657 32615521 2 Apr. 50,361 85264 2056930 9906756 23627377 36036009 3 May 60,364 14341369 8594513 6276278 9652455 16638241 4 Jun. 55,306 28674 232613 10484644 3226737 495088 5237 301401 5 Jul. 59,020 6000867 2703722 22033636 8369736 3268186 2162293 2119936 6 Aug. 56,929 7180613 5?53980 43375396 17694135 7817092 4779010 3579664 7 Sep.2006 60,466 38283094 49443399 28111204 1817104 20874374 42719909 56201726 62948356 8 Oct. 58,813 48089602 \ 27671808 40979202 13133376 35177693 30736196 14253315 5180176 9 Nov. 57,493 33860761 11294977 56297510 27888961 40983848 19616145 5818088 2745649 10 Dec. 52,623 4050827 8913807 4476751 1974025 1551246 2760563 11516424 15023376 11 Jan. 2007 50,170 6432987 10133399 34928100 35676729 30962461 13967059 15126521 20866624 12 Feb. 56,692 232967 634253 3595448 13965169 4908501 134963 2126182 4999696 13 47,045 104121616 113925737 101210307 42237001 71632338 108569872 110830966 104775696 14 50,165 3405255 1976836 9171812 600625 1095939 264357 13093356 32764176 15 May. 60,468 27269284 19009600 62747522 40972801 41776793 28825320 24032596 31651876 16 57,550 5113628 5885476 3498147 5276209 1138057 2015091 9756496 16842816 17 Jut. 58,425 290162 573049 ; 2481675 6859161 1381655 150365 91632 103684 18 64,394 11914003 18691788 22546669 52186176 30750911 19457937 20652103 21206025 19 Sep. 67,945 24578459 39197617 27180582 829921 13680527 35158287 52216641 66178225 20 61,325 11691840 5403300 12316590 195364 6199979 6228624 953009 219961 21 52,130 53714241 30868025 67842678 28858384 47913815 38165962 26268129 24304900 22 47,051 1008685 40361 17210052 10536516 11638909 927235 1212093 4519876 23 2008 48,798 14600041 10482054 46507853 46799281 39996360 16617568 11389341 12924025 24 54,689 3249 269984 12236004 25969216 10985341 85985 1144981 3045025 25 49,726 35994000 17777467 319225 9056902 30408428 34515714 32046921 26 50.426 1531819 461177 726472 6517809 504704 130183 3775243 9721924 27 61,857 1974962 838873 7846535 913936 1058141 2006744 1460231 2550409 28 55,942 33810348 30393169 14249367 46185616 25171011 26334366 31341186 34105600 29 60,066 6594624 1913519 5712897 10372635 3143001 106709 628849 30 Aug.2008(p 59,569 70225 785350 1895670 23522500 2026426 71062 1183020 1329409 @201607 i Q78539681 ( 2127847CiJ r\l\5 E :::;,. @3456061 @700065J (2"5064438] Q 955296J ~8711071 wt. on most recent 0.33 '\ 0.6 0.1667 ~4 ~ . au+ fil\1 "'~ Wl~'>'PI + \o-+- ~t-t*i\~ l S f: f.e or 'S~ (j.,.v-c.A Y e,. .t'~~~ -.., \..Ur cr\1. ~f\- Vl fon:rt rd\ I HL U !4.t 0)\ rvLO~t- =. (g rtA.~: ,,!:, W wt-At- ~~ a fnt(l~ I~e ~'7l.lJ" OUtlo o$"
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5711 -6003 4079 -549 1456 1892 -7934 -2276 -1657 3876 -4568 2236 10236 -5724 5626 -4104 322 4605 -8135 469 -4930 2126 -3595 1745 5661 -3118 1597 -5840 793 1153 \ -4771 - MA 3-month E;~.~CAST ERRORS J ----MOViNG AVERAGES---IIIIIII11EXPONENTIAL SMOOTHINGIIIII wtd. 6-month alpha = weights (.6, .3,.1: 0 0.2 0.5 0.8 -292 -1434 -3148 -4861 3787 2932 2505 3107 169 482 3238 1796 704 72 2450 1644 4694 2893 1808 1470 2680 2420 6586 4206 2796 2186 -6187 ' ·7032 -5302 -1348 -4569 -6536 -7497 -6935 -5260 -6402 -3624 ·5931 -5544 -3775 -5819 -3361 -7503 -5281 -4429 -2412 2013 2986 -2116 -1405 -1245 1661 3394 -2536 -3183 -5910 -5973 -5564 -3737 -3889 483 796 -1896 -2216 367 1458 10204 10674 10060 6499 8464 10420 10528 1845 -1406 3029 775 1047 -514 -3618 5222 4360 7921 6401 6463 5369 4902 -2261 -2426 1870 2297 1067 -1420 -3124 -539 -757 1575 2619 1175 -388 -303 3452 4323 4748 7224 5545 4411 4544 -4958 -6261 -5214 -911 -3699 -5929 -7226 -3419 -2325 -3510 -442 -2490 -2496 -976 -7329 -5556 -8237 -5372
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This note was uploaded on 03/31/2009 for the course ARE 157 taught by Professor Whitney during the Spring '08 term at UC Davis.

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are157_homework-2-key - '[UARED ERRORS Date Actual 3-month...

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