Base Case - Good example - Noida Toll Bridge Company...

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Noida Toll Bridge Company Limited DND Flyway Traffic Forecast Validation and Revenue Forecasts February 2006 Halcrow Consulting India Limited
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Halcrow Consulting India Limited 38 Ring Road Lajpat Nagar, New Delhi 110024 Tel +91 (11)2983 4944, 2983 4945 Fax +91 (11)2984 5881 www.halcrow.com Halcrow Consulting India Limited has prepared this report in accordance with the instructions of their client, Noida Toll Bridge Company Limited, for their sole and specific use. Any other persons who use any information contained herein do so at their own risk. © Halcrow Consulting India Limited 2006 Noida Toll Bridge Company Limited DND Flyway Traffic Forecast Validation and Revenue Forecasts February 2006 Halcrow Consulting India Limited
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Halcrow Consulting India Limited 38 Ring Road Lajpat Nagar, New Delhi 110024 Tel +91 (11)2983 4944, 2983 4945 Fax +91 (11)2984 5881 www.halcrow.com
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Noida Toll Bridge Company Limited DND Flyway Traffic Forecast Validation and Revenue Forecasts Contents Amendment Record This report has been issued and amended as follows: Issue Revision Description Date Signed 1 0 Draft report 30 January 2006 Pawan Maini 2 1 Final draft report 16 February 2006 Pawan Maini 3 2 Final Report 20 February 2006 Pawan Maini
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Contents Consent Letter Executive Summary 1 Introduction 1 1.1 Scope of Work 1 1.2 Report Structure 2 2 Transportation Network and Earlier Traffic Forecasts 3 2.1 Existing Transportation System 3 2.2 Earlier Traffic Forecasts 5 3 Population and Employment Growth and Impact on Traffic 13 3.1 Population Forecasts 13 3.2 Residential Development in Noida and Greater Noida 13 3.3 Other Developments East of Yamuna 18 3.4 Impact of Development on Traffic Forecasts 18 3.5 Mayur Vihar Link Traffic Forecast Review 19 3.6 DND Flyway Capacity 20 3.7 Traffic Forecast for DND Flyway and Comparison with Earlier Forecasts 21 3.8 Other Factors with potential impacts on Traffic Forecasts 26 4 Operation & Maintenance and Discounted Cash Flows 27 4.1 Design Characteristics 27 4.2 Toll System and Facilities 27 4.3 Pavement Condition and Performance 30 4.4 Facility Operation and Maintenance 31 4.5 O&M Expenses 32 4.6 Discounted Cash Flows 34 5 Conclusions 38
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List of Tables Table 1 DND Flyway Average Daily Traffic Forecast Comparison (vehicles) III Table 2 Annual Population Growth Rates (%) in 2002 Traffic Study. .............. 6 Table 3 Forecasted Traffic on DND Flyway - 2002 Traffic Study. .................... 6 Table 4 Impact of Estimated Developments in Noida and Greater Noida (Fairwood, 2004). .......................................................................................... 8 Table 5 Traffic Growth on DND Flyway - 2001 to 2006. ................................... 9 Table 6 Revenue Growth for Traffic on DND Flyway - 2001 to 2006. .......... 10 Table 7 Traffic Forecast by NTBCL, 2007-2021 (vehicles). .............................. 12 Table 8 Population Forecast for India (1996-2016). ........................................... 13 Table 9 Additional Residential Developments in Noida till 2021. .................... 14 Table 10 Additional Traffic on DND Flyway due to Additional Residential Developments in Noida and Greater Noida. ......................................... 17 Table 11 Average Daily Traffic on DND Flyway in last 3 months vs first 9 months of each Year. ................................................................................. 22 Table 12 Historical Increase in Fuel Price Indices (2002 to 2006) . .................... 22 Table 13 Forecasted Growth Rate for Traffic on DND Flyway . ....................... 23 Table 14 DND Flyway Average Daily Traffic Forecast Comparison (vehicles) 24 Table 15
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Base Case - Good example - Noida Toll Bridge Company...

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