Turkeys_demography_1_

Turkeys_demography_1_ - NEWS FEATURESASIA UNHEDGED HOME...

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NEWS & FEATURES ASIA UNHEDGED HOME       AT TOP WRITERS       TURKEY’S DEMOGRAPHIC WINTER AND ERDOGAN’S DUPLICITY:  SPENGLER Turkey’s demographic winter and Erdogan’s  duplicity: Spengler BY  DAVID P. GOLDMAN   ON   MAY 31, 2016   İ N  <THE_CATEGORY(< P="" STYLE="MARG İ N: 0PX;  PADD İ NG: 0PX; OUTL İ NE: NONE;"> AT TOP WRITERS   DAVID P. GOLDMAN   MIDDLE  EAST   SPENGLER   </THE_CATEGORY(<> Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan demanded that Turkish women abandon contraception in a televised address May 30, Reuters reported. “We will multiply our descendants. They talk about population planning, birth control. No Muslim family can have such an approach,” Erdogan said. The Turkish leader has denounced Turkish women for refusing to have more babies on many earlier occasions. Turkish woman walks with umbrella in snow-covered Ankara Erdogan has played every side of every issue, alternately courting and rejecting the European Union, claiming the United States as an ally against ISIS while aiding the terrorist army on the sly, succoring Hamas while proposing to rebuild relations with Israel, helping Iran run sanctions while claiming the Gulf States as Sunni allies. Christina Lin catalogued his double- dealings in a May 31 news analysis for this publication. When he talks about Turkey’s failing demographics, though, Erdogan is speaking from the heart. Turkey’s Kurdish citizens continue to have three or four children while ethnic Turks have fewer than two. By the early 2040s, most of Turkey’s young people will come from Kurdish-speaking homes. The Kurdish-majority Southeast inevitably will break away. Erdogan’s hapless battle against the inevitable motivates the sometimes bewildering twists and turns of Turkish policy. A review of the recently-released 2015 population data shows that the demographic scissors between Kurds and Turks continues to widen. Despite Erdogan’s exhortations on behalf of Turkish fertility, the baby bust in Turkish-majority provinces continues while Kurds sustain one of the world’s highest birth rates. Even worse, the marriage rate outside of the Kurdish Southeast of the country has collapsed, portending even lower fertility in the future.
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According to Turkstat, the official statistics agencies, the Turkish provinces with the lowest
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