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Aydin 1 Christopher Aydin Professor Clark Population, Resources, & Environment 06 April 2008 Deeper into Chad Chad’s population is expected to expand to 29.4 by 2050. This is nearly triple the current population, 10.8. Chad’s population is increasing very fast even an LDC. Chad’s CBR is still very high at 47, but it is starting to decline which is a good thing. Chad’s CBR is still twice as high of the LDC average of 23. The LDC average for RNI is close to 1.5 where as, Chad’s is at 3.1 which is also twice as high. Yes, the rate at which Chad’s population is starting to decrease, but at the same time, Chad’s death rate is declining as well. In 1970, the CDR was at 24.9 and since 2002; the CDR has been around 16. It is a very good thing that the death rate is coming down, but when looking at population growth, with a high CBR, the population is going to continue to grow if CDR is declining as well. Chad can easily be placed in middle/late stage 3. The RNI and CBR are still very high, but they are starting to decline. The CDR has been declining for sometime and will continue to, but it is still high and it is starting to level off. When looking at Chad’s Total fertility rate, it’s currently at 6.5 which is twice as high in comparison to the LDC average 2.9. The fertility rate increased in 2002 along with the increase in CBR, which was expected; however it is starting to come down from 6.6 in 2002 to 6.5 currently, which in turn is a good thing. When looking at contraception use, Chad is only at 3%. This can be a contributor to Chad’s high TFR. Also, Chad’s government sees no problem in the growth of population. With all the following being
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Aydin 2 said if the conditions stay the same or only slightly decline, I can only see Chad’s population deteriorating. The current conditions are going to make Chad’s population grow very fast. They have much worse conditions than other LDCs. Chad has a very high CBR, CDR, RNI and TFR. I would definitely have to say Chad, right now, is in mid/late stage 3 of the demographic transition model because the CBR is starting to rapidly decrease and the CDR is still decreasing, but it is starting to level off. I feel as though peak growth has been reached for Chad, with that being in 2002. All of these are starting to decline which is a good thing. If conditions continue to decline, then population will slowly stop growing. I see hope in Chad’s future if conditions continue to decline, but if conditions don’t change, Chad is in some major trouble. Chad has nearly 200 distinct groups, most of whom are Muslim. The majority of Chad practices Islam. Islam arrived in Chad in 1085. By 1900, The French overthrew the previous ruler, Rabih al-Zubayr. “Throughout the colonial period, large areas of Chad were never governed effectively: the handful of French military administrators usually left the people alone, and in central Chad, French rule was only slightly more substantive.
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