Meteorology - PHY 100H1F, Christie Moore, Student number:...

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1 PHY 100H1F, Christie Moore, Student number: 995148095, Meteorology: The Safe Study of the Atmosphere In science, for an empirical hypothesis, proposition, or theory to be considered scientific it must be stated in such a way that it can be refuted. This principle of falsifiability means that the idea could be, in principle, disproved if contrary evidence were to be discovered. Therefore, scientists must be willing to make predictions that are specific enough to expose the theory to the possibility of disconfirmation. Any researcher who refuses to go out on a limb and risk disconfirmation is not a true scientist. Meteorology, for instance, is one such study which refuses to make such “risky predictions” due to the study’s inaccuracy. In fact, meteorology is so inaccurate that its propositions are given in given in the form of percentages. Predictions given in the form of percentages leaves meteorology vulnerable to conformation bias. No matter what the outcome, the proposition is never false, because if the opposite outcome does happen to
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This note was uploaded on 06/24/2008 for the course PHY 100 taught by Professor Staff during the Winter '08 term at University of Toronto- Toronto.

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Meteorology - PHY 100H1F, Christie Moore, Student number:...

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