IR Lecture Notes

IR Lecture Notes - IR210 New Global Players 9:34:00 AM The...

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IR210 30/11/2006 12:34:00 New Global Players The emergence of China and India as new major global players will transform the geopolitical  landscape, with impacts potentially as dramatic as those accompanying the rise of Germany  and the US in the last century How we mentally map the world in 2020 will change radically o The ‘arriviste’ powers – China, India and perhaps Brazil and Indonesia – could render  obsolete the old categories of East and West, North and South, aligned and  nonaligned, developed and developing. If they are ‘Westernistic,’ maybe it won’t disrupt the international society of  states. ** Globalization: We see globalization as an overarching ‘mega trend,’ a force so ubiquitous that it will  substantially shape all the other major trends in the world of 2020 A state-bound world and a world of mega-cities, linked by flows of telecommunications, trade  and finance, will co-exist. Economy (Actors) More firms will become global, and those operating globally will be more diverse, both in size  and origin.  They will be more Asian and less Western in orientation. They will increasingly be outside the control of any one state and will be key agents of  change in dispersing technology widely, further integrating the world economy, and promoting  economic progress in the developing world.
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