DSCI Assign 4

DSCI Assign 4 - 12 1998 97 116.97 3-year weighted MA...

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B C D E F G H I 1 Question 1:  What is the forecast for 2002 using a 4-year MA? Eric Jury 2 Year Merger 4-year MA 2142237 3 1990 46 DSCI 310 4 1991 46 Assign 4 5 1992 62 6 1993 45 7 1994 64 49.75 8 1995 61 54.25 9 1996 83 58.00 10 1997 123 63.25 11 1998 97 82.75 12 1999 186 91.00 13 2000 225 122.25 14 2001 240 157.75 15 2002 187 16 1 Question 2:  What is the forecast for 2002 using a 3-year weighted MA? 2 Year Merger 3-year MA 3 1990 46 4 1991 46 5 1992 62 6 1993 45 51.33 54.00 7 1994 64 51.00 50.30 8 1995 61 57.00 57.90 9 1996 83 56.67 58.70 10 1997 123 69.33 72.60 11 1998 97 89.00 98.60 12 1999 186 101.00 102.00 13 2000 225 135.33 146.70 14 2001 240 169.33 187.70 15 2002 224.70 16 1 2 3 Year Merger Alpha=.86 4 1990 46 46 5 1991 46 46 6 1992 62 46 7 1993 45 59.76 8 1994 64 47.07 9 1995 61 61.63 10 1996 83 61.09 11 1997 123 79.93
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Unformatted text preview: 12 1998 97 116.97 3-year weighted MA Question 3: Calculate the forecasts for 1991-2001 using exponential smoothing with alpha = .86 13 1999 186 99.80 14 2000 225 173.93 15 2001 240 217.85 16 1 2 3 Year t 4 1990 1 8.96 5 1991 2 26.69 6 1992 3 44.42 7 1993 4 62.15 8 1994 5 79.88 9 1995 6 97.61 10 1996 7 115.34 11 1997 8 133.07 12 1998 9 150.8 13 1999 10 168.53 14 2000 11 186.26 15 2001 12 203.99 Question 4: Calculate the forecasts for 1991-2001 using least squares trend line; Y=-8.77 + 17.73t Y t J...
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This note was uploaded on 07/10/2008 for the course DSCI 310 taught by Professor Canankocabasoglu during the Summer '08 term at Kansas.

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DSCI Assign 4 - 12 1998 97 116.97 3-year weighted MA...

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