nickerson.nb

# nickerson.nb - < PrSAT` Nickerson`s RBH model:8B 82 5 6 8 <...

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<< PrSAT` Nickerson‘s RBH model: MODEL1 = PrSAT @8 Pr @ H D ã 1 ê 2, Pr @ » H D ã 50 ê 1000, Pr @ » ! H D ã 25 ê 1000, Pr @ ! B » H D ã 0, Pr @ ! B » ! H D ã 25 ê 1000, Pr @ ! » H D ã 50 ê 1000, Pr @ ! » ! H D ã 75 ê 1000, Pr @ ! ! B » H D ã 900 ê 1000, Pr @ ! ! B » ! H D ã 875 ê 1000 <D :8 B Ø 8 2 , 5 , 6 , 8 < , H Ø 8 3 , 5 , 7 , 8 < , R Ø 8 4 , 6 , 7 , 8 < , W Ø 8 1 , 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , 6 , 7 , 8 << , : 1 Ø 7 16 , 2 Ø 3 80 , 3 Ø 9 20 , 4 Ø 1 80 , 5 Ø 1 40 , 6 Ø 1 80 , 7 Ø 0, 8 Ø 1 40 >> These constraints give a unique model: Solve @ AlgebraicForm @8 Pr @ H D ã 1 ê 2, Pr @ » H D ã 50 ê 1000, Pr @ » ! H D ã 25 ê 1000, Pr @ ! B » H D ã 0, Pr @ ! B » ! H D ã 25 ê 1000, Pr @ ! » H D ã 50 ê 1000, Pr @ ! » ! H D ã 75 ê 1000, Pr @ ! ! B » H D ã 900 ê 1000, Pr @ ! ! B » ! H D ã 875 ê 1000 < , 8 R, B, H <DD@@ 1 DD êê Sort : 2 Ø 3 80 , 3 Ø 9 20 , 4 Ø 1 80 , 5 Ø 1 40 , 6 Ø 1 80 , 7 Ø 0, 8 Ø 1 40 > EvaluateProbability @8 Pr @ B D , Pr @ ! B D , Pr @ R D< , MODEL1 D : 1 10 , 9 10 , 1 20 > EvaluateProbability @8 Pr @ H » D , Pr @ H » ! D , Pr @ H » ! ! B D< , MODEL1 D : 2 3 , 2 5 , 36 71 > Nickerson‘s rBH model: MODEL2 = PrSAT @8 Pr @ H D ã 1 ê 2, Pr @ B » D ã 1, Pr @ B » ! H D ã 500 ê 1000, Pr @ ! B » D ã 0, Pr @ ! B » ! H D ã 500 ê 1000, Pr @ B » ! D ã 53 ê 1000, Pr @ B » ! ! H D ã 79

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## This note was uploaded on 08/01/2008 for the course PHIL 290 taught by Professor Fitelson during the Fall '06 term at Berkeley.

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nickerson.nb - < PrSAT` Nickerson`s RBH model:8B 82 5 6 8 <...

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