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Unformatted text preview: transitions is multinomial Treat as a sequence of binomial processes Stochastic simulations with demographic stochasticity For each individual, draw random numbers to determine fate, with parameter given by the corresponding mean vital rate Survival: binomial Growth: sequence of binomials Fecundity: Poisson? Adding environmental stochasticity Each year, the mean vital rate is drawn at random Binomial variables: Use beta distribution Fertility: lacking other info, use lognormal Introducing correlations is not trivial, but can be done...
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 Winter '08
 KENDALL
 Normal Distribution, Probability theory, Binomial distribution, mean vital rate, Simple variance correction

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