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Unformatted text preview: front wheel and one on the rear wheel). (a) (20 points) What is the probability that I will have at most one broken spoke on my front wheel during the journey? (b) (20 points) What is the probability that I have to interrupt my journey? 3 4. 1% of the population has an illness which is tested with 90% accuracy for ill people, and 95% accuracy for healthy people. (a) (25 points) Given that I test positive, what is the probability that I’m ill? (b) (25 points) After my Frst, positive test they repeat it. What is the probability that it comes out again positive? (c) ( Bonus question , only try when all other problems are solved, additional 5 points) After n tests, all resulting positive, what is the probability that I’m ill? What is the limit of this formula as n →∞ ? 4...
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 Fall '05
 BALAZS
 Math, Probability, Automobile, Bicycle wheel, Evening Exam Version

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