033108 - Evolution of the int'l system in the 20th century...

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th century Middle east stable during CW, now up in air -- borders? Power? US influence limited. No prediction how situation will end up. Iraq - Govt not in control of country – power local - Shiites, Sunnis, kurds o Minorities in each region not happy with division of power o Militias fighting for powers within each region Iran - Much stronger now that Baath party /saddam gone - 1979 revol. Iran vs Iraq mortal enemies - Shiites now dominant, former sunni - Major exporter of oil Iraqi Refugees - 2mil internally displaced - 1.4 mil Syria, 150K Jordan, 40K Lebanon, 54K iran, 200K gulf states - Demanding svcs in poor countries - Not going home while sitch is unstable Anti-Americanism - Up substantially after Iraq invasion - Limits US influence in region (leaders stay away) Terrorism? - Iraq = failed state (govt doesn’t control) - New insurgency of young man attacking each other – when stable, then what? Order breaks down in system (Iraq example)
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This note was uploaded on 08/26/2008 for the course SIS 201 taught by Professor Scottradnitz during the Spring '08 term at University of Washington.

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033108 - Evolution of the int'l system in the 20th century...

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