# GEM2900 - GEM2900: Understanding Uncertainty & Statistical...

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DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 1 / 29 GEM2900: Understanding Berwin Turlach statba@nus.edu.sg Department of Statistics and Applied Probability National University of Singapore

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Contact hours DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 2 / 29 Lecturer Berwin Turlach (office S16/07–114) Lectures 2:00pm–4:00pm Tuesdays and 2:00pm–4:00pm Fridays. All lectures are in LT27. Tutorials None. Contact Hours By appointment. For other sources of help: s Read the module FAQ on IVLE. s Ask your fellow students on the IVLE student forum . s E-mail me your question at statba@nus.edu.sg ; I will put the question and my answer on the IVLE module FAQ so that everyone can read them. s Ask me questions during lecture breaks or at the end of lectures.
Assessment and Textbook DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 3 / 29 Method of assessment number weighting In-course assessment: Various tasks 30% Examination: two hour final examination in December 70% The textbook for this module is: Woolfson, M.M. (2008). Everyday Probability and Statistics: Health, Elections, Gambling and War , Imperial College Press.

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Recommended Reading DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 4 / 29 Gigerenzer, G. (2002). Calculated Risks: How to know when Numbers Deceive You Haigh, J. (2003). Taking Chances: Winning with Probability (2nd ed) , Oxford University press. Lindley, D.V. (2006). Understanding Uncertainty Nahin, P.J. (2008). Digital Dice: Computational Solutions to Practical Probability Problems , Princeton University Press. Olofsson, P. (2007). Probabilities: The Little Numbers That Rule Our Lives Rosenthal (2006). Struck by Lightning: The Curious World of Probabilities , Joseph Henry Press.
Recommended Reading (ctd.) DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 5 / 29 Also of interest: Salsburg, D. (2001). The Lady Tasting Tea: How Statistics Revolutionized Science in the Twentieth Century , W.H. Freeman and Company. Senn, S. (2003). Dicing with Death: Chance, Risk and Health , Cambridge University Press. Taleb, N.N. (2004). Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Live and in the Markets (2nd ed) , Penguin Books. Taleb, N.N. (2007). The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable , Random House. ( See reviews by R. Lund, P.H. Westfall and J.M. Hilbe, and A. Brown with rejoinder by N.N. Taleb in The American Statistician , 2007, 61 (3): 189–200. )

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Some applications of Probability Theory/Statistics DSAP, NUS, Semester 1, 2008/2009 – 6 / 29 An interesting talk that Peter Donnelly gave some time ago on
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## This note was uploaded on 09/12/2008 for the course GEM 2900 taught by Professor Baturlach during the Fall '08 term at National University of Singapore.

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GEM2900 - GEM2900: Understanding Uncertainty & Statistical...

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