36_37 Risk Perception - CEE 597 Lecture 36 & 37 Risk...

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EE 597 cture 36 & 37 CEE 597 Lecture 36 & 37 Risk Perception and Risk Communication 1 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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Overview of Course Risks in Life riteria for describing risks Criteria for describing risks Models of Risk Fly vs Drive Networks Airplane Safety Risk Profiles Going 55 Dose-response Event & fault trees AIDS Environmental risk exposure assessment air pollution incinerator ultimedia 2 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 multimedia
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Overview of Course - 2 Dose-response relationships and issues uantitative risk analysis strengths and weaknesses Quantitative risk analysis strengths and weaknesses Modeling preferences: risk benefit-cost analysis Policy issues: Morall, Graham and Carrothers, Kelman Sensitivity and Uncertainty analysis, Monte Carlo simulation Next How the public views risk Communicating with the public Risk Management: how we do it? 3 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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comic California after New York 4 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37 Earthquake or Fire In New York during December
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Readings (M) Slovic, “Perceptions of Risk” packet ) Slovic, Fischoff, Lichtenstein, “Ratings of Risk” eadings (M) Slovic, Fischoff, Lichtenstein, Ratings of Risk Readings (W) Fischoff, Watson, and Hope “Defining Risk” Readings ) andman, “Risk=Hazard + Outrage” acket (W) Sandman, Risk Hazard Outrage packet (F) Pough and Krimsky, “Emergence of Risk Comm…” Readings F) Sandman, “Getting to Maybe: Comm. Aspects of Siting… ”R eadings ( ) Sa d a , Ge g o aybe: Co . spec s o S g… ead gs (F) Bean, “Speaking of Risk” packet 5 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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Readings - 2 (M) Sandmanm “Telling Reporters” packet ) reenburg et al. “Networks News Coverage” acket (M) Greenburg et al. Networks News Coverage packet (W) Lave, “Fixing the System” packet ) Starr, “Social Benefit versus Technological Risk” eadings (W) Starr, Social Benefit versus Technological Risk Readings (W) Starr, “Risk Management & Assessment” packet (W) Slovic, “Perceived Risk, Trust, and Democracy” packet See top of Hw assignment #11 6 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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Key Ideas this Section Risk perception = Numerical Risk Judgmental Bias: Availability heuristic Role of Dread and Unknown risk factors Signal Accidents isk communication is a challenge Risk communication is a challenge. 7 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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Question inking about the actual amount of risk facing our society Thinking about the actual amount of risk facing our society, ould you say that people are subject to more risk today would you say that people are subject to more risk today than they were 20 years ago, less risk today, or about the same risk as 20 years ago? 8 23 & 25 April 2007 Jery Stedinger Lecture 36 & 37
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Question Thinking about the actual amount of risk facing our society, would you say that people are subject to more risk today than ey were 20 years ago, less risk today, or about the same risk as they were 20 years ago, less risk today, or about the same risk as 20 years ago?
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36_37 Risk Perception - CEE 597 Lecture 36 & 37 Risk...

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