Final_lecture

Final_lecture - How We Know What I sn’t So The real...

Info iconThis preview shows pages 1–7. Sign up to view the full content.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon

Info iconThis preview has intentionally blurred sections. Sign up to view the full version.

View Full DocumentRight Arrow Icon
This is the end of the preview. Sign up to access the rest of the document.

Unformatted text preview: How We Know What I sn’t So The real purpose of [the] scientific method is to make sure Nature hasn’t misled you into thinking you know something you actually don’t know.- R. Pirsig, Zen and the Art of Motorcycle Maintenance Studies of the effectiveness of the portacaval shunt Amount of Support Design Marked Moderate None No controls 24 7 1 Non random Controls 10 3 2 Randomized Controls 1 3 I ntuitions regarding the hot hand of 100 Cornell and Stanford University basketball fans. Does a player have a better chance of making a shot after just having made his last two or three shots than he does after having just missed his last two or three shot? Yes = 91% No = 9% I ntuitions regarding the hot hand of 100 Cornell and Stanford University basketball fans. Consider a hypothetical player who shoots 50% from the field. What is your estimate of his field goal percentage for those shots he takes after having just made a shot? M = 61% What is your estimate of his field goal percentage for those shots he takes after having just missed a shot? M = 42% Probability of making a shot conditioned on the outcome of the previous shot for nine members of the Philadelphia 76ers....
View Full Document

This note was uploaded on 10/17/2008 for the course PSYCH 2800 taught by Professor Gilovich,t/regan,d during the Spring '08 term at Cornell.

Page1 / 32

Final_lecture - How We Know What I sn’t So The real...

This preview shows document pages 1 - 7. Sign up to view the full document.

View Full Document Right Arrow Icon
Ask a homework question - tutors are online