Quantitative Model.pdf - Quantitative​ ​Models Jacob​...

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Unformatted text preview: Quantitative​ ​Models Jacob​ ​Vitko,​ ​Taylor​ ​Mann,​ ​Mikaela​ ​Elkins, Adam​ ​Sing Group​ ​B4-B Ethanol Quantitative​ ​Model 1. 100 x (acres cropland) x (gal eth/acre of corn) / gal equiv. annual U .S. gasoline demand (gal) 2. Assumes​ ​all​ ​available​ ​U.S.​ ​cropland​ ​converted​ ​to​ ​growth​ ​of​ ​corn. 3. Variables:​ a ​ cres​ ​of​ ​cropland,​ ​annual​ ​US​ ​gas​ ​demand,​ ​gallons​ ​of​ ​ethanol​ ​per​ ​acre of​ ​corn,​ ​gallons​ ​equivalent 4. Variable​ ​values Value 1 Hyperlink Value​ ​2 Hyperlink Value Used Acres​ ​of​ ​Cropland 90 million https://tinyurl.co m/kuqanyh 87,148,3 89 https://tinyurl.co m/y7bb5kk5 87,148,3 89 Gallons​ ​of​ ​Ethanol Yielded​ ​from​ ​1​ ​Acre​ ​of Corn 423 https://tinyurl.co m/yd97gycl 462 https://tinyurl.co m/ycxh3ph5 462 Gallon​ ​Equivalent​ ​of Ethanol 0.73-0. https://tinyurl.co 83 m/y8bmwcsu 0.7194 https://tinyurl.co m/ybuw4l67 0.73 Annual​ ​U.S.​ ​Gasoline Demand 143.37 billion 142,000, 000,000 https://tinyurl.co m/ceu6a4b 143.37 billion Results: https://tinyurl.co m/l9z6klx 38.46982 347 Results:​ ​If​ ​all​ ​available​ ​U.S​ ​cropland​ ​was​ ​converted​ ​to​ ​grow​ ​corn,​ ​then​ ​the​ ​percent​ ​of annual​ ​US​ ​gas​ ​demand​ ​that​ ​could​ ​be​ ​met​ ​by​ ​ethanol​ ​from​ ​corn​ ​is​ ​38.5%. Biodiesel​ ​from​ ​Soy Quantitative​ ​Model 1. 100% × (acres of cropland) × Gallons of oil Acre of soy Gallon Equivalent Annual U S Gasoline Demand 2. Assume​ ​all​ ​available​ ​cropland​ ​is​ ​converted​ ​to​ ​the​ ​growth​ ​of​ ​soybeans 3. Variables:​ ​Acres​ ​of​ ​cropland​ ​available​ ​in​ ​the​ ​US,​ ​gallons​ ​of​ ​oil​ ​yielded​ ​from​ ​1 acre​ ​of​ ​soybeans,​ ​gallon​ ​equivalent​ ​for​ ​biodiesel,​ ​annual​ ​US​ ​gasoline​ ​demand 4. Variable​ ​Values Value​ ​1 Hyperlink Value​ ​2 Hyperlink Value​ ​Used Acres​ ​of Cropland 915,000,000 https://www.agcensus. usda.gov/Publications/ 2012/Online_Resourc es/Highlights/Farms_a nd_Farmland/Highlight s_Farms_and_Farmla nd.pdf 922,095,840 https://www.quora. com/What-percent age-of-US-land-is-f armland 918,547,920 Gallons​ ​of Oil​ ​Yielded from​ ​1​ ​Acre of​ ​Soy 66 http://cropwatch.unl.ed u/bioenergy/soybeans 57 https://www.uaex.e du/publications/PD F/FSA-1050.pdf 66 Gallon Equivalent for​ ​Biodiesel 0.96 https://www.thoughtco. com/fuel-energy-comp arisons-85636 1.047 http://www.energy. ca.gov/almanac/tra nsportation_data/g ge.html 1.047 Annual​ ​US Gasoline Demand 143,370,000,000 https://www.eia.gov/to ols/faqs/faq.php?id=23 &t=10 142,350,000,000 http://www.nacsonl ine.com/YourBusin ess/FuelsCenter/B asics/Articles/Page s/The-US-Petroleu m-Industry-Statisti cs-Definitions.aspx #.WcaeItSGOM8 142,860,000,0 00 Result 40.53110333 Results:​ ​If​ ​all​ ​available​ ​cropland​ ​in​ ​the​ ​US​ ​was​ ​converted​ ​to​ ​grow​ ​soybeans,​ ​then​ ​the percent​ ​of​ ​annual​ ​US​ ​gas​ ​demand​ ​that​ ​could​ ​be​ ​met​ ​by​ ​biodiesel​ ​fuel​ ​from​ ​soybeans​ ​is 40.53% Biodiesel​ ​from​ ​Algae Quantitative​ ​Model 1. ​ ​Acre​ ​of​ ​ponds​ ​needed​ ​for​ ​algae​ ​=​ ​ U .S Diesel Consumption (gal) Gal. of Biodiesel 55( Acre of soy grown ) 2. Assume​ ​that​ ​diesel​ ​consumption​ ​and​ ​acres​ ​of​ ​soy​ ​grown​ ​are​ ​annual.​ ​Assume that​ ​the​ ​equivalency​ ​of​ ​biodiesel​ ​from​ ​soy​ ​to​ ​biodiesel​ ​from​ ​algae​ ​is​ ​1:1. 3. Variables:​ ​U.S.​ ​diesel​ ​consumption,​ ​gallons​ ​of​ ​biodiesel​ ​that​ ​can​ ​be​ ​produced from​ ​an​ ​acre​ ​of​ ​soy. 4. Variable​ ​values: Value​ ​1 Hyperlink Value​ ​2 Hyperlink U.S.​ ​Diesel Consumption 143,370,000,000 https://tiny 142,000,000,000 https://tin url.com/l9 yurl.com/ z6klx ceu6a4b 55​ ​(Gallons of​ ​biodiesel yielded​ ​from one​ ​acre​ ​of soy) 3135 Result https://tiny 2750 url.com/y9 2m5yfp Used​ ​Value 1.42685 E+11 http://ww 2942.5 w.energyj ustice.net /biodiesel 48491079.01 Results:​ ​The​ ​amount​ ​of​ ​acres​ ​that​ ​would​ ​needed​ ​to​ ​be​ ​produced​ ​in​ ​order​ ​to​ ​produce sufficient​ ​amount​ ​of​ ​algae​ ​is​ ​approximately​ ​48,500,000​ ​acres​ ​of​ ​algae. Synthetic​ ​Fuel​ ​From​ ​Coal Quantitative​ ​Model 1. Years​ ​Left​ ​Using​ ​Coal=​ ​ ​ (T otal amount of coal)(Gallon equivalent) (Gas consumption) + (Coal used f or energy) Y ears 2. Assume​ ​that​ ​only​ ​United​ ​States​ ​coal​ ​reserves​ ​are​ ​used.​ ​Assume​ ​that​ ​coal​ ​is used​ ​exclusively​ ​for​ ​energy​ ​and​ ​fuel.​ ​Assume​ ​that​ ​only​ ​the​ ​United​ ​States’​ ​current technology​ ​for​ ​extraction​ ​is​ ​being​ ​used. 3. Variables-​ ​Total​ ​amount​ ​of​ ​coal,​ ​gallon​ ​equivalent​ ​of​ ​coal​ ​to​ ​synthetic​ ​fuel,​ ​Gas consumption,​ ​coal​ ​used​ ​for​ ​energy 4. Variable​ ​values: Value​ ​1 Hyperlink Value​ ​2 Hyperlink Used​ ​Value Total​ ​amount of​ ​coal​ ​(tons) 254.9​ ​billion https://tinyurl. com/kpxuju3 259​ ​billion https://tinyurl. com/y79l7jhv 254.9​ ​billion Gallon equivalent (gallons​ ​per ton)​ ​(1​ ​barrel =42​ ​gallons) 63 https://tinyurl. com/yaqpq6q o 84 https://tinyurl. com/y9k3jesz 63 Gas consumption (gallons) 143.37​ ​billion https://tinyurl. com/l9z6klx 142​ ​billion https://tinyurl. com/ceu6a4b 143.37​ ​billion Coal​ ​used​ ​for energy (gallons) 12,983,492.0 6 https://tinyurl. 836,613,036 com/y7sjoaov https://tinyurl. com/y9x3rw5 3 836,613,036 Result 111.359 Results:​ ​The​ ​United​ ​States​ ​coal​ ​reserves​ ​would​ ​be​ ​depleted​ ​after​ ​111.359​ ​years. ...
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