Notes 9-17

Notes 9-17 - 9.19.07 Balancing allying against the...

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9.19.7 Balancing: allying against the prevailing threat Bandwagoning: allying with the source of danger *Predictions about balancing and bandwagoning: Bandwagoning more likely in cases of… (but less likely generally) Weak states When no allies are available and when a threat is imminent In the later stages of war (outcome is clear) *Balance of power vs. balance of threat Balance of power: alliances formed on the basis of other states’ capabilities. Balance of threat: alliances formed on the basis of other states’ intentions (leads to perception/psychology) States might ally with the US (dominant state), b/c it seems mostly benevolent And they might ally against Iran, which is less powerful but seems more threatening *Realists often emphasize the fluidity of alliances (similar to institutions) Can make the security dilemma more severe *Liberals point out the possibilities for alliance cohesion (longer lasting due to mutual benefits) -NATO after the CW (liberal ex.) BUT: Balkan intervention (1994 and after—Bosnia, Kosovo,
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Notes 9-17 - 9.19.07 Balancing allying against the...

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