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Logistica-ejercicios-presentar.xlsx

Logistica-ejercicios-presentar.xlsx - Semanas unidades...

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Semanas unidades Promedio Promedio movil Alfa = 0.2 Aug-31 360 360 Sep-07 389 360.0 Sep-14 410 365.8 Sep-21 381 386.3 399 374.6 Sep-28 368 393.3 391 375.9 Oct-05 374 386.3 376 374.3 Oct-12 374.3 373 374.3 2.- Año 1 2 3 4 5 Demanda 7 9 5 9 13 Promedio 7 7.7 Promedio movil 6.4 7.8 3.- Año Demanda Alfa= 0.4 Movil 3 Promedio Alfa 0.4 1 7 6.4 2 9 6.6 3 5 7.6 4 9 6.6 7 6.4 2.4 5 13 7.5 7.7 7.8 5.5 6 8 9.7 9 11 1.7 7 12 9.0 10 9.6 3.0 8 13 10.2 11 10.9 2.8 9 9 11.3 11 12.2 2.3 10 11 10.4 11.3 10.5 0.6 11 7 10.6 11 10.6 3.6 12 9.2 9 8.4 9.2 Proporciona mejores resultado el año 10 con 11.3 un pronostico promedio, en comparación con la demanda real 9. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Año Demanda 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Año Demanda
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Total 31.1 MAD 3.46 4.- Año Cheque Promedio Julio 40 42 41.6 Año Cheque Promedio Julio 45 41.6 Agosto 42.28 5.- Año Millas Promedio movil 2 Alfa = 0.5 Error Promedio 1 3,000 3000 2 4,000 3000 3 3,400 3,500 3600 3500 100 4 3,800 3,700 3640 3450 100 5 3,700 3,600 3640 3625 100 6 3,750 3740 3662.5 300 MAD 100 El menor, 6.- Mes (x) Ventas (Y) Movil 3 Promedio movil Alfa= 0.3 x Enero 20 1 Febrero 21 2 Marzo 15 3 Abril 14 19 4 Mayo 13 17 5 Junio 16 14 6 Julio 17 14 16 7 Agosto 18 15 16 8 Septiembre 20 17 16 18 9 Octubre 20 18 17 18.6 10 Noviembre 21 19 18 19.0 11 Diciembre 23 20 19 19.6
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