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Student Name: Ashley BellStudent ID: 4311377Course: INTEL401 Critical AnalysisInstructor: Professor MerrittDate: April 5, 2019Directions:The following templates should be used to enter the information for Steps 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, and 8 (Step 7 will be reported in an essay). Please download and save a copy of this matrix on your computer.**Note: Grades for Step One will be entered directly into the gradebook.ACH Step One: Identify Possible Scenario Outcomes (Hypotheses)NumberHypothesisHypothesis #1Taiwan elected government and PRC are able to conduct negotiations to resolve the issues and diffuse tensions.Hypothesis #2TSU wins the election and disregards international recommendations and declares independence for Taiwan and declaring War with China. Hypothesis #3PRC uses military action to invade and occupy Taiwan in an effort to stop the elections and avoid any increased tensions Hypothesis #4PRC uses deceptive tactics to influence Taiwan elections to sway towards KMT without use of military forceHypothesis #5KMT wins the election within Taiwan and the TSU creates civil unrest within the country causing international concern within Taiwan and between the PRC and Taiwan.Points PossiblePoints Earned
**Note: Grades for ACH Steps 2-6 will be entered directly into the gradebook.ACH Step Two: Evidence for and Evidence Against Each HypothesisACH Steps Three and Four: Assess Evidence for “Diagnosticity” and Eliminate EvidenceACH Steps Five and Six: (5) Eliminate Hypotheses” and (6) Identify Linchpin EvidenceHypothesis DeleteLinchpin (H1a) List three pieces of evidence indicating the crisis will beresolved diplomatically.(H1)-