GOVT311 Lecture 7 Partisan Change

GOVT311 Lecture 7 Partisan Change - Partisan Change GOVT...

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Partisan Change GOVT 311 Lecture 7
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Types of Surveys Cross-sectional – conducted on one universe of people at one point in time Panel – same group of people interviewed over time Panel attrition: loss of respondents over course of survey
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Voting Behavior of Partisans “Strong” Partisans are more loyal than “weak” partisans (F & Z p.80) Overall defection rates of strong and weak partisans for presidential elections has remained constant with a small decrease in the 1990s. Partisans of both types have become more loyal. More partisans tend to defect towards the winning candidate, especially when there is an incumbent running in the election.
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Partisan Voting In Congress, Democrats held an edge in defections, with more Republicans defecting to Democratic candidates, until the election of 1994. (Flanigan and Zingale p.82) Why?
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Partisan Turnout Strong Partisans are more likely to vote than weak partisans. Independents are the least likely to vote (F & Z p.86) Strong Partisans have more interest in politics.
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Are Independents “Independent”?
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