GOVT311 Lecture 5 Turnout Decline

GOVT311 Lecture 5 Turnout Decline - Turnout Decline Govt...

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Turnout Decline Govt 311: Lecture 5
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Presidential Turnout Rates, 1948-2000 40 45 50 55 60 65 Turnout Rate VAP Turnout Rate
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Putnam: Bowling Alone What is “civic society?” What is the trend? Lower voter turnout Fewer people in traditional organizations More people in associations Explanations Women in the workforce Mobility Less marriage Technology of leisure The Death of Civic Society
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Turnout Should be Going Up There are higher levels of “socio-economic status” (SES) in the society It is easier for people to register to vote
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Why Is Voter Turnout Declining? Putnam: Decline of Civic Society. Decreased Mobilization Efforts by Parties Increasingly Negative Campaigns Increased Distrust in Government Generational Change Globalization Rise of Cable Television
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How to Calculate the Turnout Rate? Turnout Rate = Number of Votes for President Voting Age Population Turnout Rate = Number of Ballots Cast Eligible Voters
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Ineligible to vote Non-Citizens: 1972 1.5% of VAP 2004 8.6% of VAP Ineligible Felons (depends on state law)
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