HW04solutions2008 - Homework 4 Stat 408 Winter 2008 1...

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Homework 4 Stat 408 Winter 2008 1. Present a theory as a countermeasure to "The enemy is out there." Solution. A theory to countermeasure “The enemy is out there” would be “The enemy might be in here”. Instead of complaining about the things you may not have the control over to change, you should instead try to change those things you can, namely yourself. 2. Present a theory as a countermeasure to "I am my position." Solution. A theory to countermeasure “I am my position” would be “I am my position”, where you redefine your position. You have to realize that your position is not the “locally” defined position a person usually identifies with but instead, your position had a “global” impact on the entire system that you are a member of. 3. Present a theory as a countermeasure to "Politics makes sameness an asset." Solution. A theory to countermeasure “Politics makes sameness an asset” would be “No body should like or want to be a Yes-man (or Yes-woman)”. Innovation never comes from maintaining the present course. Those who are afraid to speak up when they disagree should realize that silence implies agreement. 4. Explain what the Beer Distribution Game suggests regarding delays. Provide an example to illustrate how delays can be a problem. Solution. Proper understanding of a trend can help a company not get caught in a fad and over purchase for future purchases that will not be there. Since there is a delay between the desire of the consumer and the deliver of the product to the distributor, the distributor must try to anticipate future consumer desires, which can, as the Beer Distribution Game suggest, can cause catastrophic results. 5. Describe two or three key items you believe are most important in your reading of the Goal.
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Solution. Answers will vary. 6. Explain what is meant by a stable system. Give an operational definition of a stable system. Solution. An operation definition of a stable system is a system where the outcomes when plotted against order show haphazard fluctuations. If we drew upper and lower limits that are a ceratin distance from average, the data would fluctuate without any clear pattern between the two limits.
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