seasonal_q4 - 0.7 104.58 1.05 1993 4 12 0.600 0.7 85.43...

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SUMMARY OUTPUT Regression Statistics Multiple R 0.31 R Square 0.09 Adjusted R 0.04 Standard E 0.1 Observatio 20 ANOVA df SS MS F ignificance F Regression 1 0.02 0.02 1.85 0.19 Residual 18 0.18 0.01 Total 19 0.2 Coefficientstandard Erro t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 90.0% Upper 90.0% Intercept 0.64 0.05 13.84 0 0.54 0.74 0.56 0.72 T 0.01 0 1.36 0.19 0 0.01 0 0.01 0.7
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Year Quarter T actual rate predicted percent actual/pred. 1991 1 1 0.56 0.64 87.03 0.87 qtr 1 0.878 1991 2 2 0.7 0.65 108.02 1.08 qtr 2 1.076 1991 3 3 0.800 0.66 122.12 1.22 qtr 3 1.171 1991 4 4 0.57 0.66 86.01 0.86 qtr 4 0.875 1992 1 5 0.58 0.67 86.39 0.86 1992 2 6 0.74 0.67 110.01 1.1 1992 3 7 0.87 0.68 128.39 1.28 1992 4 8 0.61 0.68 88.8 0.89 1993 1 9 0.59 0.69 86.52 0.87 1993 2 10 0.74 0.69 106.67 1.07 1993 3 11 0.73
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Unformatted text preview: 0.7 104.58 1.05 1993 4 12 0.600 0.7 85.43 0.85 1994 1 13 0.62 0.71 87.91 0.88 1994 2 14 0.71 0.71 99.33 0.99 1994 3 15 0.81 0.72 112.25 1.12 1994 4 16 0.63 0.72 87.38 0.87 1995 1 17 0.67 0.73 91.28 0.91 1995 2 18 0.84 0.73 113.79 1.14 1995 3 19 0.87 0.74 118.13 1.18 1995 4 20 0.670 0.74 90.02 0.9 0.62 0.82 q4 95 / q3 9 q4 95 / q4 9 sa 4q 95 0.77 sa 3q 95 0.75 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 seasonal index deseasonalizing 95 0.77 94 1.06 1.03 5 10 15 20 25 actual rate Linear Regression for actual rate...
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This note was uploaded on 08/26/2009 for the course ECON 203 taught by Professor Petry during the Spring '08 term at University of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign.

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seasonal_q4 - 0.7 104.58 1.05 1993 4 12 0.600 0.7 85.43...

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