Ch5.16 - ACTIVITY TIMES 3-TIME ESTIMATE Activity Negotiate...

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ACTIVITY TIMES IMMEDIATE 3-TIME ESTIMATE PREDECESSORS Activity Node a m b μ σ Node Predecessor Negotiate Terms A 3 4 5 B A Hire Opening Acts B 2 4 12 C B Hirre Security C 1 2 3 D B Hire Technicians D 2 3 10 E B Ticket Outlets E 2 3 4 F E Radio/TV Promo. F 2 3 4 G A Lodging/Trans. G 0.5 1 1.5 H F Final Promotion H 4 5 12 I C Rehearsals I 2 5 8 I D Concession Sales J 5 13 15 I G J A KNOWN μ and σ
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CRITICAL PATH ANALYSIS MEAN 21 STANDARD DEVIATION* 2.21 * Assumes all critical activities are on one critical path VARIANCE* 4.89 PROBABILITY COMPLETE BEFORE 12 = 0.000023 Acitivty Node Critical μ σ ES EF LS LF Slack Negotiate Terms A * 4 0.33 0.11 0 4 0 4 0 Hire Opening Acts B * 5 1.67
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Ch5.16 - ACTIVITY TIMES 3-TIME ESTIMATE Activity Negotiate...

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