09 - - Implications o Individuals update beliefs more...

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- Implications o Individuals update beliefs more slowly than rational Bayesian model would predict o Initial judgments are conceptual anchors on beliefs o Adjustment process inefficient o “Anchoring and adjustment” heuristic o People treat gains and losses differently o Treatment of risk follows common, systematic deviations from rational model o People evaluate gain/loss relative to reference point o Risk averse concerning gains o Risk-seeking over losses - Types of conflict o Revolution o Civil War: identity and ethnicity Divisions among ethnic groups – conflict End of cold war – increase in ethnic conflict Narcissism of minor differences Closer the relation between human groups, more hostile toward each other Smaller differences result in a struggle to portray differences as absolute Nationalism then intensifies small differences Primal opposition between “them” and “us” o Insurgency Defined as a “popular movement that seeks to overthrow the status
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This note was uploaded on 11/06/2009 for the course GOVT 3937 at Cornell University (Engineering School).

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09 - - Implications o Individuals update beliefs more...

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