13 Forecasting

13 Forecasting - produced certain weather conditions...

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11/13 Forecasting 1. Meteorological Organizations a. WMO: World Meteorology Organization b. National Weather Service 2. Methods of Forecasting a. Persistence: future weather will be the same as present weather b. Nowcasting: weather systems will move in the same direction and speed and maintain current strength c. Analogue: conditions on weather charts strongly resemble features that
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Unformatted text preview: produced certain weather conditions sometime in the past d. Climatological forecast: based on average weather e. Ensemble forecasting: average several runs of the same model 3. Prediction a. Probability of precipitation i. Chance at same random place in forecast area b. Numerical weather prediction c. Watchings/warnings: heighten awareness...
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