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Unformatted text preview: THSF Squared Error twelve months earlier. THSF = THS (t - 12) Calculations MSE 441.25 RMSE 21.01 Fig. 1-8 Total Houses Sold (THS) with Naïve Forecast. In this example the naïve forecast is modified to be the actual sales twelve months earlier. THSF = THS (t - 12) Aug-05 Oct-05 Dec-05 Feb-06 Apr-06 Jun-06 Aug-06 Oct-06 Dec-06 Feb-07 Apr-07 Jun-07 Aug-07 Oct-07 Dec-07 Feb-08 Apr-08 Jun-08 20 40 60 80 100 120 Total Houses Sold(000) THS Naïve Forecast(-12) THSF...
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This note was uploaded on 11/11/2009 for the course FTS 4905 taught by Professor Stanuryasev during the Spring '09 term at University of Florida.
- Spring '09