c3t7 - Date 12/31/1999 12/31/2000 12/31/2001 12/31/2002 DTV...

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Date DTV Shipments Cumulative HTV Shipments 12/31/1999 0.12 0.12 12/31/2000 0.65 0.77 12/31/2001 1.46 2.23 Total televisions in u 12/31/2002 2.53 4.76 12/31/1999 12/31/2000 12/31/2001 12/31/2002 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Shipments and Cumulative Shipments DTV Shipments Cumulative HTV Shipments Year Millions
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se in 2002 = 248 million Analaog Transmitter Power: $44,000 per year Analog Transmitter Site Lease: $33,000 per year
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Date Cumulative HTV Shipments 12/31/1999 0.12 12/31/2000 0.77 12/31/2001 2.23 Total televisions in use in 2002 = 248 million 12/31/2002 4.76
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Forecast -- Gompertz Curve Selected Forecast Date Annual 2003 10.89 2004 19.64 2005 31.42 If, when considering the growth, it is harder to achieve a constant improvement 2006 45.70 as we approach the maximum level, the Gompertz curve is the best approach. 2007 61.59 2008 78.12 2009 94.41 2010 109.79 2011 123.82 2012 136.27 2013 147.08 2014 156.31 2015 164.07 2016 170.53 2017 175.86 2018 180.22 2019 183.78 2020 186.66 2021 188.99 2022 190.86 Avg 122.80 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 50 100 150 200 250 Cumulative HTV Shipments Column A Column C Column D
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Max 190.86 Min 10.89 Summary Comments The forecast has an average error of 14.32% The data has a standard deviation of 2.06 The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by 98.14% Audit Trail - Summary Analysis
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This note was uploaded on 11/11/2009 for the course FTS 4905 taught by Professor Stanuryasev during the Spring '09 term at University of Florida.

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c3t7 - Date 12/31/1999 12/31/2000 12/31/2001 12/31/2002 DTV...

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