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Unformatted text preview: ,367.20 5,411.70 5,458.80 5,496.10 5,544.60 5,604.90 5,640.70 5,687.60 5,749.10 5,775.80 5,870.70 5,931.40 5,996.80 6,092.10 6,165.70 6,248.80 6,311.30 6,409.70 6,476.70 6,556.80 6,661.30 6,703.30 6,768.00 6,825.00 6,853.10 6,870.30 6,900.50 7,017.60 7,042.20 7,083.50 7,123.20 7,148.20 7,184.90 7,249.30 7,352.90 Fitted Data 4,766.41 4,761.70 4,776.21 4,799.52 4,766.22 4,734.64 4,772.47 4,805.34 4,806.87 4,888.37 4,933.05 4,986.48 5,049.94 5,071.60 5,111.00 5,167.57 5,217.28 5,276.78 5,316.89 5,351.82 5,402.70 5,410.40 5,446.81 5,495.02 5,535.15 5,584.54 5,648.38 5,688.36 5,733.44 5,795.81 5,824.78 5,918.15 5,990.32 6,059.21 6,158.21 6,239.89 6,325.32 6,388.92 6,485.49 6,556.69 6,634.77 6,741.08 6,786.65 6,841.39 6,893.00 6,914.64 6,919.67 6,938.37 7,056.38 7,098.28 7,135.32 7,170.80 7,191.49 7,222.54 7,287.22 Error -9.31 11.30 16.39 -41.22 -28.12 44.76 27.63 -9.44 68.13 14.63 18.75 22.92 -22.64 0.30 16.30 5.33 13.02 -8.78 -11.19 6.88 -35.50 1.30 11.99 1.08 9.45 20.36 -7.68 -0.76 15.66 -20.01 45.92 13.25 6.48 32.89 7.49 8.91 -14.02 20.78 -8.79 0.11 26.53 -37.78 -18.65 -16.39 -39.90 -44.34 -19.17 79.23 -14.18 -14.78 -12.12 -22.60 -6.59 26.76 65.68 Accuracy Measures AIC BIC Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) R-Square Adjusted R-Square Root Mean Square Error Theil Method Statistics Method Selected Level Trend Value 671.12 675.67 0.31% 99.95% 99.95% 24.87 0.46 Value Double Holt 0.77 0.39 Oct-2003 Jan-2004 Apr-2004 Jul-2004 Oct-2004 Jan-2005 Apr-2005 Jul-2005 Oct-2005 Jan-2006 Apr-2006 Jul-2006 Oct-2006 Jan-2007 Apr-2007 Jul-2007 Oct-2007 7,394.30 7,475.10 7,520.50 7,585.50 7,664.30 7,709.40 7,775.20 7,852.80 7,876.90 7,961...
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