58 787690 791537 796190 794062 800930 801819 806380

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Unformatted text preview: 76.90 7,915.37 7,961.90 7,940.62 8,009.30 8,018.19 8,063.80 8,069.89 8,141.20 8,121.94 8,215.70 8,199.23 8,244.30 8,279.27 8,302.20 8,309.31 8,341.30 8,358.68 8,358.68 8,394.97 8,434.62 8,355.33 8,444.64 8,499.62 8,389.67 8,494.32 8,565.24 8,423.39 8,543.99 8,631.15 8,456.82 8,593.66 8,697.20 8,490.11 8,643.33 8,763.35 8,523.31 8,693.00 8,829.55 8,556.45 8,742.67 8,895.79 8,589.55 8,792.34 8,962.05 8,622.63 8,842.01 9,028.34 8,655.68 8,891.68 9,094.64 8,688.72 8,941.35 9,160.95 8,721.75 PCE Jul-1991 Jul-1994 Jul-1997 Oct-1999 Jul-2000 Oct-2002 Jul-2003 Jan-1996 Jan-1999 Jan-2005 Jul-2006 Actual Forecast Fitted Values Upper Limit Lower Limit Forecast --Double HoltSelected Date Jan-2008 Apr-2008 Jul-2008 Oct-2008 Jan-2009 Apr-2009 Jul-2009 Oct-2009 Jan-2010 Apr-2010 Jul-2010 Oct-2010 Total Avg Max Min Quarterly 8,394.97 8,444.64 8,494.32 8,543.99 8,593.66 8,643.33 8,693.00 8,742.67 8,792.34 8,842.01 8,891.68 8,941.35 104,017.95 8,668.16 8,941.35 8,394.97 Forecast Annual 5% - 95% Upper Limit 8,434.62 8,499.62 8,565.24 8,631.15 8,697.20 8,763.35 8,829.55 8,895.79 8,962.05 9,028.34 9,094.64 9,160.95 8,796.87 9,160.95 8,434.62 5% - 95% Lower Limit 8,355.33 8,389.67 8,423.39 8,456.82 8,490.11 8,523.31 8,556.45 8,589.55 8,622.63 8,655.68 8,688.72 8,721.75 8,539.45 8,721.75 8,355.33 33,877.92 34,672.65 35,467.38 34,672.65 35,467.38 33,877.92 Summary Comments The forecast has an average error of The data has a standard deviation of The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by 0.31% 1,150.60 99.95% Audit Trail - Summary Analysis Audit Trail - Historical Versus Fitted Analysis Series:PCE Dates Jan-1990 Apr-1990 Jul-1990 Oct-1990 Original Data 4,757.10 4,773.00 4,792.60 4,758.30...
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