70 059 052 050 029 043 090 157 076 108 064

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Unformatted text preview: % 1.08% 0.64% 0.80% 1.04% 0.62% 0.79% 1.01% 0.32% 0.98% 0.64% 0.64% 0.95% Apr-2007 Jul-2007 Oct-2007 Avg Max Min StDev Var Median Audit Trail - Statistics 8,244.30 8,302.20 8,341.30 6,336.24 8,341.30 4,738.10 1,150.60 1,323,883.86 6,280.05 8,279.27 8,309.31 8,358.68 6,334.17 8,358.68 4,734.64 1,154.43 1,332,705.32 6,282.60 -34.97 -7.11 -17.38 2.07 79.23 -44.34 24.96 623.08 0.36 0.35% 0.70% 0.47% 0.80% 1.70% -0.72% 0.45% 0.00% 0.85% 0.98% 0.36% 0.59% 0.80% 1.70% -0.69% 0.48% 0.00% 0.79% Accuracy Measures AIC BIC Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) R-Square Adjusted R-Square Root Mean Square Error Theil Method Statistics Method Selected Level Trend ForecastX Configuration Parameters Item Data range selected Time scale for data Periods to forecast Seasonal Length Replace Outliers Activated Replace Outliers Standard Deviations Replace Outliers Forecasting Technique Replace Missing Values Replace Missing Values (Lower Limit) Replace Missing Values (Upper Limit) Remove Leading Zeroes Remove Trailing Zeroes Use Holdback Evaluation Holdback Evaluation Period Apply Tracking Signal Apply Tracking Signal (Under Forecast Percentage) Apply Tracking Signal (Over Forecast Percentage) Forecast Method Selected Report Details Run Date: 3/3/2008 2:37:13 PM Author: Barry Keating Note: Value 671.12 675.67 0.31% 99.95% 99.95% 24.87 0.46 Value Double Holt 0.77 0.39 Forecast Statistics Durbin Watson (4) Mean Standard Deviation Ljung-Box Value [t2t3t6l1q.xls]t2t3t6l1q!$A$1:$B$73 Quarterly 12.00 No No No No No No Double Exponential Smoothing Holt Apr-2004 Jan-2005 Oct-2005 Jul-2006 Apr-2007 Jan-2008 Oct-2008 Jul-2009 Apr-2010 mit Jul-2003 Cumulative Error -9.31 1.00 6.13 -5.71 Cumulative MAPE 0.20% 0.16% 0.14% 0.16% -10.19...
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This note was uploaded on 11/11/2009 for the course FTS 4905 taught by Professor Stanuryasev during the Spring '09 term at University of Florida.

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