c3t2 - Date Jan-98 Feb-98 Mar-98 Apr-98 May-98 Jun-98...

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Unformatted text preview: Date Jan-98 Feb-98 Mar-98 Apr-98 May-98 Jun-98 Jul-98 Aug-98 Sep-98 Oct-98 Nov-98 Dec-98 Jan-99 Feb-99 Mar-99 Apr-99 May-99 Jun-99 Jul-99 Aug-99 Sep-99 Oct-99 Nov-99 Dec-99 Jan-00 Feb-00 Mar-00 Apr-00 May-00 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 Index 106.6 110.4 106.5 108.7 106.5 105.6 105.2 104.4 100.9 97.4 102.7 100.5 103.9 108.1 105.7 104.6 106.8 107.3 106 104.5 107.2 103.2 107.2 105.4 112 111.3 107.1 109.2 110.7 106.4 108.3 107.3 106.8 105.8 107.6 98.4 94.7 90.6 91.5 88.4 92 92.6 92.4 91.5 81.8 82.7 83.9 88.8 93 90.7 95.7 93 Index 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Jul-98 Jul-99 Jul-00 Jul-01 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Index May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04 Sep-04 Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 96.9 92.4 88.1 87.6 86.1 80.6 84.2 86.7 82.4 79.9 77.6 86 92.1 89.7 90.9 89.3 87.7 89.6 93.7 92.6 103.8 94.4 95.8 94.2 90.2 95.6 96.7 95.9 94.2 91.7 92.8 97.1 95.5 94.1 92.6 87.7 86.9 96 96.5 89.1 76.9 74.2 81.6 91.5 91.2 86.7 88.9 87.4 79.1 84.9 84.7 82 85.4 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 93.6 92.1 91.7 96.9 91.3 88.4 87.1 88.3 85.3 90.4 83.4 Index Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Tracking Report Dates Jan-1998 Feb-1998 Mar-1998 Apr-1998 May-1998 Jun-1998 Jul-1998 Aug-1998 Sep-1998 Oct-1998 Nov-1998 Dec-1998 Jan-1999 Feb-1999 Mar-1999 Apr-1999 May-1999 Jun-1999 Jul-1999 Aug-1999 Sep-1999 Oct-1999 Nov-1999 Dec-1999 Jan-2000 Feb-2000 Mar-2000 Apr-2000 May-2000 Jun-2000 Jul-2000 Aug-2000 Sep-2000 Oct-2000 Nov-2000 Dec-2000 Jan-2001 Feb-2001 Mar-2001 Apr-2001 May-2001 Jun-2001 Jul-2001 Aug-2001 Sep-2001 Oct-2001 Nov-2001 Dec-2001 Jan-2002 Feb-2002 Mar-2002 Apr-2002 120.00 May-2002 Jun-2002 Jul-2002 Aug-2002 Sep-2002 Oct-2002 Nov-2002 Dec-2002 Jan-2003 Feb-2003 Mar-2003 Apr-2003 May-2003 Jun-2003 Jul-2003 Aug-2003 Sep-2003 Oct-2003 Nov-2003 Dec-2003 Jan-2004 Feb-2004 Mar-2004 Apr-2004 May-2004 Jun-2004 Jul-2004 Aug-2004 Sep-2004 Oct-2004 100.00 Nov-2004 Dec-2004 Jan-2005 Feb-2005 Mar-2005 Apr-2005 May-2005 Jun-2005 Jul-2005 Aug-2005 Sep-2005 Oct-2005 Nov-2005 Dec-2005 Jan-2006 Feb-2006 Mar-2006 Apr-2006 May-2006 Jun-2006 Jul-2006 Aug-2006 Sep-2006 Oct-2006 Nov-2006 Dec-2006 Jan-2007 Feb-2007 Mar-2007 Apr-2007 80.00 May-2007 Jun-2007 Jul-2007 Aug-2007 Sep-2007 60.00 Actual 106.60 Forecast 110.40 106.50 108.70 106.50 105.60 105.20 104.40 100.90 97.40 102.70 100.50 103.90 108.10 105.70 104.60 106.80 107.30 106.00 104.50 107.20 103.20 107.20 105.40 112.00 111.30 107.10 109.20 110.70 106.40 108.30 107.30 106.80 105.80 107.60 98.40 94.70 90.60 91.50 88.40 92.00 92.60 92.40 91.50 81.80 82.70 83.90 88.80 93.00 90.70 95.70 93.00 96.90 92.40 88.10 87.60 86.10 80.60 84.20 86.70 82.40 79.90 77.60 86.00 92.10 89.70 90.90 89.30 87.70 89.60 93.70 92.60 103.80 94.40 95.80 94.20 90.20 95.60 96.70 95.90 94.20 91.70 92.80 97.10 95.50 94.10 92.60 87.70 86.90 96.00 96.50 89.10 76.90 74.20 81.60 91.50 91.20 86.70 88.90 87.40 79.10 84.90 84.70 82.00 85.40 93.60 92.10 91.70 96.90 91.30 88.40 87.10 88.30 85.30 90.40 83.40 Fitted Values Lower Limit 107.00 Upper Limit 106.65 109.96 106.91 108.49 106.73 105.73 105.26 104.50 101.33 97.86 102.13 100.69 103.52 107.56 105.92 104.76 106.56 107.21 106.14 104.69 106.90 103.64 106.78 105.56 111.24 111.29 107.59 109.01 110.50 106.88 108.13 107.40 106.87 105.93 107.40 99.46 95.26 91.15 91.46 88.76 91.62 92.48 92.41 91.61 82.96 82.73 83.76 88.21 92.43 90.90 95.13 93.25 96.47 92.88 88.66 87.73 86.29 81.27 83.85 86.36 82.87 80.25 77.91 85.05 91.27 89.88 90.78 89.47 87.91 89.40 93.19 92.67 102.49 95.35 95.75 94.38 90.69 95.02 96.50 95.97 94.41 92.02 92.71 96.58 95.63 94.28 92.80 88.30 87.07 94.95 96.32 89.95 78.44 74.70 80.79 90.24 91.09 87.22 88.70 87.55 80.10 84.33 84.66 82.31 85.04 92.59 92.16 91.75 96.29 91.89 88.81 87.30 88.18 85.64 89.84 89.84 84.16 90.78 77.54 Index 40.00 20.00 0.00 Jan-1998 Sep-1999 Jan-2000 Jan-2001 Sep-2001 Jan-2002 Jan-2003 Jan-2004 Sep-2004 May-1999 May-2002 May-2004 Jan-2005 May-2005 May-2006 May-1998 Jan-1999 May-2000 May-2001 May-2003 Sep-1998 Sep-2000 Sep-2003 Sep-2005 Sep-2002 Jan-2006 Actual Forecast Fitted Values Upper Limit Lower Limit Forecast --Simple Exponential SmoothingSelected Forecast Date Monthly Quarterly Sep-2007 84.16 84.16 Total 84.16 Avg 84.16 84.16 Max 84.16 84.16 Min 84.16 84.16 Summary Comments The forecast has an average error of The data has a standard deviation of The forecast exceeds the accuracy of a simple average by Annual 5% - 95% Upper Limit 90.78 90.78 90.78 90.78 5% - 95% Lower Limit 77.54 77.54 77.54 77.54 #DIV/0! 0.00 0.00 3.50% 9.06 78.82% Audit Trail - Summary Analysis Audit Trail - Historical Versus Fitted Analysis Series:Index Dates Jan-1998 Feb-1998 Mar-1998 Apr-1998 May-1998 Jun-1998 Jul-1998 Aug-1998 Sep-1998 Oct-1998 Nov-1998 Dec-1998 Jan-1999 Feb-1999 Original Data 106.60 110.40 106.50 108.70 106.50 105.60 105.20 104.40 100.90 97.40 102.70 100.50 103.90 108.10 Fitted Data 107.00 106.65 109.96 106.91 108.49 106.73 105.73 105.26 104.50 101.33 97.86 102.13 100.69 103.52 Error -0.40 3.75 -3.46 1.79 -1.99 -1.13 -0.53 -0.86 -3.60 -3.93 4.84 -1.63 3.21 4.58 Series % Change 3.56% -3.53% 2.07% -2.02% -0.85% -0.38% -0.76% -3.35% -3.47% 5.44% -2.14% 3.38% 4.04% Forecast % Change -0.33% 3.10% -2.77% 1.48% -1.62% -0.94% -0.45% -0.72% -3.04% -3.42% 4.36% -1.41% 2.81% Mar-1999 Apr-1999 May-1999 Jun-1999 Jul-1999 Aug-1999 Sep-1999 Oct-1999 Nov-1999 Dec-1999 Jan-2000 Feb-2000 Mar-2000 Apr-2000 May-2000 Jun-2000 Jul-2000 Aug-2000 Sep-2000 Oct-2000 Nov-2000 Dec-2000 Jan-2001 Feb-2001 Mar-2001 Apr-2001 May-2001 Jun-2001 Jul-2001 Aug-2001 Sep-2001 Oct-2001 Nov-2001 Dec-2001 Jan-2002 Feb-2002 Mar-2002 Apr-2002 May-2002 Jun-2002 Jul-2002 Aug-2002 Sep-2002 Oct-2002 Nov-2002 Dec-2002 Jan-2003 Feb-2003 Mar-2003 Apr-2003 May-2003 Jun-2003 Jul-2003 Aug-2003 Sep-2003 Oct-2003 Nov-2003 Dec-2003 Jan-2004 Feb-2004 Mar-2004 Apr-2004 May-2004 Jun-2004 Jul-2004 105.70 104.60 106.80 107.30 106.00 104.50 107.20 103.20 107.20 105.40 112.00 111.30 107.10 109.20 110.70 106.40 108.30 107.30 106.80 105.80 107.60 98.40 94.70 90.60 91.50 88.40 92.00 92.60 92.40 91.50 81.80 82.70 83.90 88.80 93.00 90.70 95.70 93.00 96.90 92.40 88.10 87.60 86.10 80.60 84.20 86.70 82.40 79.90 77.60 86.00 92.10 89.70 90.90 89.30 87.70 89.60 93.70 92.60 103.80 94.40 95.80 94.20 90.20 95.60 96.70 107.56 105.92 104.76 106.56 107.21 106.14 104.69 106.90 103.64 106.78 105.56 111.24 111.29 107.59 109.01 110.50 106.88 108.13 107.40 106.87 105.93 107.40 99.46 95.26 91.15 91.46 88.76 91.62 92.48 92.41 91.61 82.96 82.73 83.76 88.21 92.43 90.90 95.13 93.25 96.47 92.88 88.66 87.73 86.29 81.27 83.85 86.36 82.87 80.25 77.91 85.05 91.27 89.88 90.78 89.47 87.91 89.40 93.19 92.67 102.49 95.35 95.75 94.38 90.69 95.02 -1.86 -1.32 2.04 0.74 -1.21 -1.64 2.51 -3.70 3.56 -1.38 6.44 0.06 -4.19 1.61 1.69 -4.10 1.42 -0.83 -0.60 -1.07 1.67 -9.00 -4.76 -4.66 0.35 -3.06 3.24 0.98 -0.08 -0.91 -9.81 -0.26 1.17 5.04 4.79 -1.73 4.80 -2.13 3.65 -4.07 -4.78 -1.06 -1.63 -5.69 2.93 2.85 -3.96 -2.97 -2.65 8.09 7.05 -1.57 1.02 -1.48 -1.77 1.69 4.30 -0.59 11.13 -8.09 0.45 -1.55 -4.18 4.91 1.68 -2.22% -1.04% 2.10% 0.47% -1.21% -1.42% 2.58% -3.73% 3.88% -1.68% 6.26% -0.63% -3.77% 1.96% 1.37% -3.88% 1.79% -0.92% -0.47% -0.94% 1.70% -8.55% -3.76% -4.33% 0.99% -3.39% 4.07% 0.65% -0.22% -0.97% -10.60% 1.10% 1.45% 5.84% 4.73% -2.47% 5.51% -2.82% 4.19% -4.64% -4.65% -0.57% -1.71% -6.39% 4.47% 2.97% -4.96% -3.03% -2.88% 10.82% 7.09% -2.61% 1.34% -1.76% -1.79% 2.17% 4.58% -1.17% 12.10% -9.06% 1.48% -1.67% -4.25% 5.99% 1.15% 3.90% -1.52% -1.10% 1.72% 0.61% -1.00% -1.37% 2.11% -3.06% 3.03% -1.14% 5.38% 0.05% -3.32% 1.32% 1.37% -3.27% 1.17% -0.68% -0.49% -0.88% 1.39% -7.39% -4.22% -4.32% 0.34% -2.95% 3.22% 0.95% -0.08% -0.87% -9.44% -0.27% 1.25% 5.30% 4.79% -1.65% 4.65% -1.98% 3.45% -3.72% -4.54% -1.06% -1.63% -5.82% 3.18% 2.99% -4.05% -3.16% -2.91% 9.15% 7.32% -1.51% 1.00% -1.44% -1.75% 1.70% 4.24% -0.56% 10.59% -6.96% 0.41% -1.43% -3.91% 4.77% Aug-2004 Sep-2004 Oct-2004 Nov-2004 Dec-2004 Jan-2005 Feb-2005 Mar-2005 Apr-2005 May-2005 Jun-2005 Jul-2005 Aug-2005 Sep-2005 Oct-2005 Nov-2005 Dec-2005 Jan-2006 Feb-2006 Mar-2006 Apr-2006 May-2006 Jun-2006 Jul-2006 Aug-2006 Sep-2006 Oct-2006 Nov-2006 Dec-2006 Jan-2007 Feb-2007 Mar-2007 Apr-2007 May-2007 Jun-2007 Jul-2007 Aug-2007 Avg Max Min StDev Var Median Audit Trail - Statistics 95.90 94.20 91.70 92.80 97.10 95.50 94.10 92.60 87.70 86.90 96.00 96.50 89.10 76.90 74.20 81.60 91.50 91.20 86.70 88.90 87.40 79.10 84.90 84.70 82.00 85.40 93.60 92.10 91.70 96.90 91.30 88.40 87.10 88.30 85.30 90.40 83.40 94.63 112.00 74.20 9.06 82.14 92.70 96.50 95.97 94.41 92.02 92.71 96.58 95.63 94.28 92.80 88.30 87.07 94.95 96.32 89.95 78.44 74.70 80.79 90.24 91.09 87.22 88.70 87.55 80.10 84.33 84.66 82.31 85.04 92.59 92.16 91.75 96.29 91.89 88.81 87.30 88.18 85.64 89.84 94.86 111.29 74.70 8.97 80.46 92.75 -0.60 -1.77 -2.71 0.78 4.39 -1.08 -1.53 -1.68 -5.10 -1.40 8.93 1.55 -7.22 -13.05 -4.24 6.90 10.71 0.96 -4.39 1.68 -1.30 -8.45 4.80 0.37 -2.66 3.09 8.56 -0.49 -0.46 5.15 -4.99 -3.49 -1.71 1.00 -2.88 4.76 -6.44 -0.22 11.13 -13.05 4.17 17.35 -0.72 -0.83% -1.77% -2.65% 1.20% 4.63% -1.65% -1.47% -1.59% -5.29% -0.91% 10.47% 0.52% -7.67% -13.69% -3.51% 9.97% 12.13% -0.33% -4.93% 2.54% -1.69% -9.50% 7.33% -0.24% -3.19% 4.15% 9.60% -1.60% -0.43% 5.67% -5.78% -3.18% -1.47% 1.38% -3.40% 5.98% -7.74% -0.11% 12.13% -13.69% 4.64% 0.22% -0.85% 1.56% -0.55% -1.63% -2.53% 0.75% 4.18% -0.99% -1.41% -1.57% -4.85% -1.40% 9.05% 1.44% -6.61% -12.80% -4.77% 8.15% 11.70% 0.94% -4.25% 1.70% -1.29% -8.52% 5.29% 0.38% -2.77% 3.31% 8.88% -0.47% -0.44% 4.95% -4.57% -3.35% -1.70% 1.01% -2.88% 4.90% -0.07% 11.70% -12.80% 4.04% 0.16% -0.56% Accuracy Measures AIC BIC Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) R-Square Adjusted R-Square Root Mean Square Error Theil Method Statistics Method Selected Level ForecastX Configuration Parameters Item Data range selected Time scale for data Periods to forecast Value 661.53 664.29 3.50% 78.82% 78.82% 4.15 1.00 Value Simple Exponential Smoothing 0.88 Forecast Statistics Durbin Watson (4) Mean Standard Deviation Ljung-Box Value [c3t2 new.xlsx]index consumer sentiment'!$A$1:$B$117 Monthly 1.00 Seasonal Length Replace Outliers Activated Replace Outliers Standard Deviations Replace Outliers Forecasting Technique Replace Missing Values Replace Missing Values (Lower Limit) Replace Missing Values (Upper Limit) Remove Leading Zeroes Remove Trailing Zeroes Use Holdback Evaluation Holdback Evaluation Period Apply Tracking Signal Apply Tracking Signal (Under Forecast Percentage) Apply Tracking Signal (Over Forecast Percentage) Forecast Method Selected Report Details Run Date: 3/3/2008 12:55:13 PM Author: Barry Keating Note: No No No No No No Simple Exponential Smoothing Sep-2004 Jan-2005 Sep-2006 May-2004 May-2005 May-2006 Jan-2007 May-2007 mit Cumulative Error -0.40 1.68 -0.03 0.42 -0.06 -0.24 -0.28 -0.35 -0.71 -1.04 -0.50 -0.60 -0.30 0.05 Cumulative MAPE 0.37% 1.04% 1.05% 0.89% 0.79% 0.69% 0.60% 0.54% 0.52% 0.51% 0.50% 0.47% 0.45% 0.44% Sep-2007 Sep-2005 Jan-2006 -0.08 -0.16 -0.03 0.01 -0.05 -0.13 -0.01 -0.17 -0.01 -0.07 0.19 0.19 0.03 0.08 0.14 0.00 0.04 0.01 0.00 -0.04 0.01 -0.24 -0.36 -0.47 -0.45 -0.52 -0.43 -0.39 -0.38 -0.40 -0.61 -0.60 -0.56 -0.44 -0.34 -0.36 -0.26 -0.30 -0.23 -0.30 -0.38 -0.39 -0.41 -0.50 -0.44 -0.39 -0.45 -0.49 -0.52 -0.39 -0.27 -0.29 -0.27 -0.29 -0.31 -0.29 -0.22 -0.23 -0.07 -0.18 -0.17 -0.19 -0.24 -0.17 -0.15 0.42% 0.40% 0.38% 0.36% 0.35% 0.33% 0.32% 0.32% 0.31% 0.30% 0.30% 0.28% 0.28% 0.27% 0.26% 0.26% 0.25% 0.24% 0.24% 0.23% 0.23% 0.23% 0.22% 0.22% 0.22% 0.21% 0.21% 0.21% 0.20% 0.20% 0.20% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.19% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18% 0.18% 0.17% 0.17% 0.17% 0.17% 0.17% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.16% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.15% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% -0.16 -0.18 -0.21 -0.20 -0.14 -0.15 -0.17 -0.19 -0.24 -0.25 -0.15 -0.13 -0.21 -0.35 -0.39 -0.31 -0.20 -0.19 -0.23 -0.21 -0.22 -0.30 -0.25 -0.25 -0.27 -0.24 -0.15 -0.16 -0.16 -0.11 -0.16 -0.19 -0.20 -0.19 -0.21 -0.17 -0.22 -0.22 1.68 -1.04 0.27 0.07 -0.22 0.14% 0.14% 0.14% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.13% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.12% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.11% 0.24% 1.05% 0.11% 0.18% 0.00% 0.17% ast Statistics ard Deviation Value 2.24 94.63 9.06 8.20 100.00 105.00 110.00 115.00 120.00 70.00 J an-1998 Apr-1998 Jul-1998 Oct-1998 Jan-1999 Apr-1999 Jul-1999 75.00 80.00 85.00 90.00 95.00 Oct-1999 Jan-2000 Apr-2000 Jul-2000 Oct-2000 Jan-2001 Apr-2001 Jul-2001 Jan-2002 Apr-2002 Jul-2002 Oct-2002 Jan-2003 Apr-2003 Jul-2003 Oct-2003 Jan-2004 Apr-2004 Jul-2004 Oct-2004 Jan-2005 Apr-2005 Jul-2005 Oct-2005 Jan-2006 Apr-2006 Jul-2006 Oct-2006 Jan-2007 Apr-2007 Jul-2007 Simple Exponential Smoothing Forecast of the Index of Consumer Sentiment Fitted Values Oct-2001 Actual Forecast Upper Limit Lower Limit Date Actual Forecast Error Jan-98 Feb-98 Mar-98 Apr-98 May-98 Jun-98 Jul-98 Aug-98 Sep-98 Oct-98 Nov-98 Dec-98 Jan-99 Feb-99 Mar-99 Apr-99 May-99 Jun-99 Jul-99 Aug-99 Sep-99 Oct-99 Nov-99 Dec-99 Jan-00 Feb-00 Mar-00 Apr-00 May-00 Jun-00 Jul-00 Aug-00 Sep-00 Oct-00 Nov-00 Dec-00 Jan-01 Feb-01 Mar-01 Apr-01 May-01 Jun-01 Jul-01 Aug-01 Sep-01 Oct-01 Nov-01 Dec-01 Jan-02 Feb-02 Mar-02 Apr-02 106.6 110.4 106.5 108.7 106.5 105.6 105.2 104.4 100.9 97.4 102.7 100.5 103.9 108.1 105.7 104.6 106.8 107.3 106 104.5 107.2 103.2 107.2 105.4 112 111.3 107.1 109.2 110.7 106.4 108.3 107.3 106.8 105.8 107.6 98.4 94.7 90.6 91.5 88.4 92 92.6 92.4 91.5 81.8 82.7 83.9 88.8 93 90.7 95.7 93 107.00 106.65 109.96 106.91 108.49 106.73 105.73 105.26 104.50 101.33 97.86 102.13 100.69 103.52 107.56 105.92 104.76 106.56 107.21 106.14 104.69 106.90 103.64 106.78 105.56 111.24 111.29 107.59 109.01 110.50 106.88 108.13 107.40 106.87 105.93 107.40 99.46 95.26 91.15 91.46 88.76 91.62 92.48 92.41 91.61 82.96 82.73 83.76 88.21 92.43 90.90 95.13 -0.40 3.75 -3.46 1.79 -1.99 -1.13 -0.53 -0.86 -3.60 -3.93 4.84 -1.63 3.21 4.58 -1.86 -1.32 2.04 0.74 -1.21 -1.64 2.51 -3.70 3.56 -1.38 6.44 0.06 -4.19 1.61 1.69 -4.10 1.42 -0.83 -0.60 -1.07 1.67 -9.00 -4.76 -4.66 0.35 -3.06 3.24 0.98 -0.08 -0.91 -9.81 -0.26 1.17 5.04 4.79 -1.73 4.80 -2.13 May-02 Jun-02 Jul-02 Aug-02 Sep-02 Oct-02 Nov-02 Dec-02 Jan-03 Feb-03 Mar-03 Apr-03 May-03 Jun-03 Jul-03 Aug-03 Sep-03 Oct-03 Nov-03 Dec-03 Jan-04 Feb-04 Mar-04 Apr-04 May-04 Jun-04 Jul-04 Aug-04 Sep-04 Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05 Sep-05 Oct-05 Nov-05 Dec-05 Jan-06 Feb-06 Mar-06 Apr-06 May-06 Jun-06 Jul-06 Aug-06 Sep-06 96.9 92.4 88.1 87.6 86.1 80.6 84.2 86.7 82.4 79.9 77.6 86 92.1 89.7 90.9 89.3 87.7 89.6 93.7 92.6 103.8 94.4 95.8 94.2 90.2 95.6 96.7 95.9 94.2 91.7 92.8 97.1 95.5 94.1 92.6 87.7 86.9 96 96.5 89.1 76.9 74.2 81.6 91.5 91.2 86.7 88.9 87.4 79.1 84.9 84.7 82 85.4 93.25 96.47 92.88 88.66 87.73 86.29 81.27 83.85 86.36 82.87 80.25 77.91 85.05 91.27 89.88 90.78 89.47 87.91 89.40 93.19 92.67 102.49 95.35 95.75 94.38 90.69 95.02 96.50 95.97 94.41 92.02 92.71 96.58 95.63 94.28 92.80 88.30 87.07 94.95 96.32 89.95 78.44 74.70 80.79 90.24 91.09 87.22 88.70 87.55 80.10 84.33 84.66 82.31 3.65 -4.07 -4.78 -1.06 -1.63 -5.69 2.93 2.85 -3.96 -2.97 -2.65 8.09 7.05 -1.57 1.02 -1.48 -1.77 1.69 4.30 -0.59 11.13 -8.09 0.45 -1.55 -4.18 4.91 1.68 -0.60 -1.77 -2.71 0.78 4.39 -1.08 -1.53 -1.68 -5.10 -1.40 8.93 1.55 -7.22 -13.05 -4.24 6.90 10.71 0.96 -4.39 1.68 -1.30 -8.45 4.80 0.37 -2.66 3.09 Oct-06 Nov-06 Dec-06 Jan-07 Feb-07 Mar-07 Apr-07 May-07 Jun-07 Jul-07 Aug-07 Sep-07 93.6 92.1 91.7 96.9 91.3 88.4 87.1 88.3 85.3 90.4 83.4 85.04 92.59 92.16 91.75 96.29 91.89 88.81 87.30 88.18 85.64 89.84 84.16 8.56 -0.49 -0.46 5.15 -4.99 -3.49 -1.71 1.00 -2.88 4.76 -6.44 ...
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This note was uploaded on 11/11/2009 for the course FTS 4905 taught by Professor Stanuryasev during the Spring '09 term at University of Florida.

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