ARE106SU09HW6-1

# ARE106SU09HW6-1 - 1 University of California Davis...

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1 University of California, Davis Managerial Economic(ARE) 106, Summer 2009 Instructor: John H. Constantine Problem Set #6: NOT DUE NOTE: You do NOT NEED TO RUN SHAZAM on this hw. All SHAZAM computer outputs are given at the end of this assignment if the problem has one. The SHAZAM command files are given to help you understand how to write the code. You may be asked to state SHAZAM commands on the final exam. Problem 1 : This is problem 9.2 of the text, although it is modified a bit . sample 1 229 read(are106/fullmoon.dat) calls t hol fri sat full new ols calls t hol fri sat full new test test full=0 test new=0 end stop Do full moons cause strange behavior? This is an important policy issue in terms of staffing hospitals (doctors and nurses) and police. Daily data were collected for the period January 1, 1998 until mid- August. There were 229 observations. The variables are defined as follows: calls = emergency room cases t = trend variable 1, 2, …, 229 hol = 1 if a holiday, 0 if not (New Year’s Day, Memorial Day, and Easter) fri = 1 if the day is a Friday, 0 if not sat = 1 if the day is a Saturday, 0 if not full = 1 if there is a full moon, 0 if not new = 1 if there is a new moon, 0 if not (a) Run the OLS using SHAZAM. Interpret your results. You are to state explicitly how each variable will impact “calls”. Note that most of these independent variables are “dummies”, and the purpose here to have you understand dummies’ interpretations. Part of this interpretation requires a comment of the parameter statistical significance. (b) When should emergency rooms expect more calls? (c) Test the joint significance of “full” and “new”. State the null and alternative hypotheses, and use both the F-test and p-stat to test.

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2 Problem 2 : This is problem 9.3 of the text, although it is modified a bit . SAMPLE 1 4682 READ(are106/stockton.dat) PRICE SQFT AGE D92-D96 OLS PRICE SQFT AGE D92 D93 D94 D95 D96 TEST TEST D92 = 0 TEST D93 = 0 TEST D94 = 0 TEST D95 = 0 TEST D96 = 0 END STOP This problem examines housing price trends in Stockton, CA. The data are on houses sold between January 1991 and December 1996. The data are defined as follows: PRICE i = overall price index number for house i . SQFT i = square feet of house i . AGE i = are of house i . D92 i = 1 if house i sold in 1992; 0 if not ( D93 i – D96 i defined similarly) (a) State the PRF implied by the SHAZAM command file. (b) What is the economic interpretation of β 1 ? (c) Discuss the estimated coefficients on SQFT i and AGE i . Do the results confirm your a priori expectations? ( Note: You need to get into the habit of stating each parameter’s statistical significance. ) (d) Discuss the estimated coefficients on the dummy variables. ( Note: You need to get into the habit of stating each parameter’s statistical significance. ) (e) State the hypothesis test implied by the TEST command given in the command file. What is your conclusion? (f)
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ARE106SU09HW6-1 - 1 University of California Davis...

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