Today and the Next two LecturesStowell: Chapter 4Evaluating M&ACross-border transactionsThe role of investment banksValuation:Multiples valuationCash flow valuationIntroduction to Case 42
M&A Objectives and ConsiderationsBefore entering into a transaction, companies typically compare the costs, risks and benefits of an acquisition or merger with their organic opportunity (a “Greenfield analysis”)This buy versus build analysis is an important departure point for a company as it begins to think about a transaction: Is it better to build a brand, geographic coverage, distribution network, installed base of products or services, and relationships, or is it better to acquire them? The inverse decision – whether to sell – is an analysis that asks whether the benefits of continuing to operate an asset is a better risk-adjusted option than monetizing the asset (for cash or stock of the acquirer)3
There is an never-ending debate on whether M&A creates or destroys value for shareholdersBefore undertaking an acquisition or merger, a strategic rationale should be determined that results in a likely increase in shareholder valueA key component in determining if a transaction is strategically justifiable is the analysis of synergies:Synergies include cost synergies and revenue synergiesEasier to capture cost savings than to generate more revenue. Often, you will find that one of the key objectives in an acquisition or merger is to achieve cost savings through economies of scale (sharing central services such as legal, accounting, finance, and executive management) and reduction of redundant assets (real estate, corporate jets, etc.)McKinsey estimates that 88% of acquirers were able to capture at least 70% of estimated cost savings, while only 50% of acquirers were able to capture 70% of revenue synergies4Strategic Rationale, Control Premium & Synergies
Strategic Rationale, Control Premium & SynergiesIn an acquisition, control premium is the percentage difference between the price an acquirer will pay to purchase control of a target company compared to the price for owning a minority share (non control) positionThe purchase price premium (to the target’s current share price) in an acquisition is determined based on consideration of synergies and control premium:Price premium = synergy effects + control premium5
Key Parameters for Evaluating M&A OpportunitiesStrategic fit with business strategy of the acquirerManagement team and asset qualitySynergy potentialEase of integrationMargins, earnings, return on invested capital (ROIC) and credit ratings impact, and other financial attributesPrice/valuationRegulatory risk6
Principal Constituents in an M&A TransactionShareholders are concerned about valuation, control, risk and tax issuesCredit rating agencies focus on credit quality issuesRegulators must be persuaded that anti-trust, tax and securities laws