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         ASUC Lecture Notes Online is the only authorized note-taking service at UC Berkeley. Do not share, copy or illegally distribute (electronically or otherwise) these notes. Our student-run program depends on your individual subscription for its continued existence. These notes are copyrighted by the University of California and are for your personal use only.          Sharing or copying these notes is illegal and could end note taking for this course. ANNOUNCEMENTS Please turn in problem set 2 before lecture starts in class or at 2232 Piedmont. Problem set 1 has been graded. You can pick it up at the Demography Building, 2232 Piedmont. A set of keys was found in sections. If you don’t pick it up we will drop it off at the lost and found at Barrows. Reading : Feyrer, Sacerdote and Stern article “Will the Stork Return to Europe and Japan?” LECTURE Outline 1. Marriage and Divorce 2. Fertility Marriage and Divorce Marrying at an early age is associated with a higher risk of divorce. It could be a result of the fact that your search process as shorter. You know yourself less well, you know the person less well, you know how you will be together less well. Cohabitation , a couple living together without being married, used to be very rare in the 60’s and 70’s. It has been on the rise in the past decades. More than 50% of couples marrying in 1990’s had first cohabited. Q1 : Research has shown that: A. Wives with higher earning potential are more likely to divorce B. Individuals who marry at younger ages are more likely to divorce C. Couples that cohabited before marriage are more likely to divorce D. All of the above E. Two of the above. A is true. B is also true. C is true, we have not talked about it in lecture but it is in the readings so the correct answer is D. Q2 : Cohabitation causes divorce, because couples that cohabit before marriage have higher probabilities of divorce. A. True B. False B is the correct answer. Correlation and association are here but we do not have evidence for causation. There is another explanation for why this association exists. There is self selection into those who cohabit. People with less traditional orientations are more likely to live together. The fact is true but the causal part is not yet proved. Cohabitation could take place for different reasons. It may be you are planning on getting married and just live together waiting for the wedding. Some people use it as a substitute for marriage. Or some people are just trying it out to see how things work out. Lehrer looks at a study that says if you control for the self selection effect there does not seem to be any evidence for divorce rates after cohabitation.